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Süper Lig
Referee: V Bayarslan
Alanyaspor
U U T S S
2–5
Full-time
Fenerbahce
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 46%
46%
46%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
14 Shots 18
9 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 9
12 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 5. · Fenerbahce 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 29 21 7 1 +33 70
2 Konyaspor 29 16 7 6 +16 55
3 Buyuksehyr 28 14 5 9 +13 47
4 Fenerbahce 28 13 8 7 +11 47
5 Alanyaspor 28 13 7 8 +9 46
6 Hatayspor 29 14 4 11 +2 46
7 Ad. Demirspor 29 12 9 8 +13 45
8 Besiktas 28 12 9 7 +6 45
9 Karagumruk 29 11 7 11 -10 40
10 Kayserispor 29 10 8 11 -2 38
11 Sivasspor 29 9 10 10 +1 37
12 Gaziantep 28 10 7 11 -3 37
13 Kasimpasa 29 9 8 12 +0 35
14 Galatasaray 28 9 8 11 -4 35
15 Antalyaspor 28 9 8 11 -6 35
16 Giresunspor 28 9 5 14 -3 32
17 Altay 29 8 5 16 -11 29
18 Goztep 29 7 6 16 -12 27
19 Rizespor 29 6 5 18 -27 23
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 29 5 5 19 -26 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Fenerbahce
26′
D. Rossi 0–1
A. Bayındır
Half-time 0–1
48′
ℹ️ Miha Zajc
VAR: Penalty awarded
Chidozie Awaziem 🟨
49′
50′
M. Özil 0–2
1–2 T. Bingöl
E. Akbaba
53′
61′
🟨 Serdar Dursun
F. Diédhiou 🔁
↦ C. Awaziem
61′
2–2 T. Bingöl
67′
68′
🔁 D. Pelkas
↦ O. Tufan
O. Aydın 🔁
↦ N. Milunović
74′
74′
🔁 A. Güler
↦ M. Özil
74′
🔁 M. Berisha
↦ S. Dursun
78′
A. Güler 2–3
D. Rossi
Candeias 🔁
↦ E. Bekiroglu
84′
87′
🟨 Dimitrios Pelkas
90′
D. Pelkas 2–4
92′
🔁 B. Kapacak
↦ D. Rossi
94′
M. Berisha 2–5
A. Güler
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

3-4-2-1
28 Marafona G
19 N. Milunović D
24 Juanfran M
15 C. Awaziem D
35 F. Bayır D
7 E. Karaca F
18 João Novais M
75 T. Bingöl M
23 E. Akbaba F
11 E. Bekiroglu F
6 U. Güneş M
Bench (10)
14 F. Diédhiou
70 O. Aydın
21 Candeias
3 A. Gülay
39 Ç. Erciyas
1 S. Kırıntılı
25 M. Mevlja
16 E. Aydoğan
9 E. Yardımcı
4 L. Fer

Coach: Felipe Sánchez

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
1 A. Bayındır G
4 S. Aziz D
41 Attila Szalai D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
10 M. Özil M
26 M. Zajc M
7 O. Tufan D
21 B. Osayi-Samuel M
27 Miguel Crespo M
19 S. Dursun F
9 D. Rossi M
Bench (10)
14 D. Pelkas
25 A. Güler
11 M. Berisha
77 B. Kapacak
33 Ç. Kurukalıp
30 N. Sangaré
35 B. Özer
5 J. Sosa
54 E. Çetin
32 M. Tisserand

Coach: İ. Kartal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,69
U
3,44
B ✓
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

V Bayarslan · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.