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Süper Lig
Referee: M Kalkavan
Alanyaspor
T T T S T
1–3
Full-time
Fenerbahce
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,3
This season — Süper Lig · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 50%
29%
70%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
63%
70%
Both score Ø 51%
54%
48%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
1,4
2,5
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%
4 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 7
2 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 11. · Fenerbahce 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 25 19 3 3 +33 60
2 Fenerbahce 23 16 3 4 +33 51
3 Besiktas 25 14 7 4 +20 49
4 Ad. Demirspor 25 12 9 4 +20 45
5 Trabzonspor 25 13 5 7 +10 44
6 Buyuksehyr 24 12 5 7 +8 41
7 Kayserispor 24 11 2 11 +0 35
8 Konyaspor 25 8 10 7 +2 34
9 Karagumruk 24 7 10 7 +4 31
10 Antalyaspor 25 8 4 13 -8 28
11 Alanyaspor 24 7 7 10 -9 28
12 Sivasspor 25 7 6 12 -7 27
13 Kasimpasa 25 7 5 13 -13 26
14 Ümraniyespor 26 6 7 13 -7 25
15 Ankaragücü 24 7 4 13 -10 25
16 Gaziantep 26 6 7 13 -11 25
17 İstanbulspor 24 7 3 14 -21 24
18 Giresunspor 24 5 8 11 -19 23
19 Hatayspor 23 6 5 12 -25 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Fenerbahce
1–0 E. Koulouris
Ivan Cavaleiro
4′
17′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ J. Oosterwolde
19′
🟨 Bright Osayi-Samuel
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Zajc
↦ Willian Arão
46′
🔁 J. King
↦ João Pedro
46′
🔁 E. Mor
↦ İ. Kahveci
Furkan Bayır 🟨
53′
Z. Ferhat 🔁
↦ E. Bekiroğlu
65′
65′
E. Valencia 1–1
78′
🔁 S. Dursun
↦ J. King
O. Aydın 🔁
↦ Ivan Cavaleiro
81′
Pedro Pereira 🔁
↦ Candeias
81′
82′
🟨 Enner Valencia
85′
E. Valencia 1–2
Koka 🔁
↦ E. Koulouris
89′
92′
E. Mor 1–3
Gustavo Henrique
Yusuf Ozdemir 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
13 R. Rúnarsson G
21 Candeias D
4 F. Bayır D
23 J. Rassoul D
88 Y. Özdemir D
6 U. Güneş M
97 A. Lusamba M
7 E. Karaca M
11 E. Bekiroğlu M
19 Ivan Cavaleiro M
24 E. Koulouris F
Bench (10)
10 Z. Ferhat
70 O. Aydın
27 Pedro Pereira
93 Koka
37 M. Torlak
5 Ü. Akdağ
98 I. Doumbia
9 E. Yardımcı
3 A. Gülay
99 Y. Karagöz

Coach: E. Yanal

Fenerbahce

4-4-2
1 A. Bayındır G
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
3 S. Akaydin D
2 Gustavo Henrique D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
9 D. Rossi M
5 Willian Arão M
80 İ. Yüksek M
17 İ. Kahveci M
20 João Pedro F
13 E. Valencia F
Bench (10)
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
26 M. Zajc
15 J. King
99 E. Mor
19 S. Dursun
10 A. Güler
8 M. Yandaş
27 Miguel Crespo
70 İ. Eğribayat
4 S. Aziz

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,21
U
4,01
B ✓
1,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,48
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kalkavan · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.