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Süper Lig
Referee: A Bitigen
Rizespor
T T T S T
3–1
Full-time
Gaziantep
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Gaziantep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 33%
38%
28%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
52%
45%
Both score Ø 43%
41%
45%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,21 xG 1,16
50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 8
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rizespor 11. · Gaziantep 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 29 25 3 1 +47 +39.5 78
2 Fenerbahce 29 24 4 1 +53 +52.5 76
3 Trabzonspor 29 15 4 10 +12 +2.1 49
4 Besiktas 30 14 4 12 +4 +9.6 46
5 Kasimpasa 29 12 7 10 -1 -8.5 43
6 Buyuksehyr 30 12 6 12 +3 -0.3 42
7 Antalyaspor 30 10 11 9 +2 +0.6 41
8 Ad. Demirspor 30 9 12 9 +7 -0.9 39
9 Alanyaspor 30 9 12 9 -4 +2.2 39
10 Kayserispor 30 10 9 11 -7 -7.6 39
11 Rizespor 29 11 6 12 -13 -7.1 39
12 Sivasspor 30 9 11 10 -7 -6.8 38
13 Samsunspor 29 10 6 13 -3 +4.9 36
14 Ankaragücü 30 7 12 11 -3 -5.7 33
15 Konyaspor 30 7 12 11 -11 -10.7 33
16 Gaziantep 29 8 7 14 -8 -11.4 31
17 Karagumruk 30 7 9 14 -4 -12.4 30
18 Hatayspor 29 6 12 11 -7 -5.4 30
19 Pendikspor 30 7 8 15 -27 -11.8 29
20 İstanbulspor 30 3 7 20 -33 -22.7 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rizespor Gaziantep
21′
🟨 Salem M'Bakata
Casper Højer 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
A. Zeqiri 🔁
↦ Gustavo Sauer
46′
54′
D. Sorescu 0–1
A. Maxim
59′
🟨 Alexandru Maxim
A. Gaich 🔁
↦ M. Sarıkaya
59′
0–2 S. M'Bakata
own goal
64′
77′
🔁 F. Soyalp
↦ O. Özçiçek
82′
🔁 M. Jevtović
↦ Jamiro Monteiro
82′
🔁 M. Gradel
↦ D. Sorescu
D. Varešanović 🔁
↦ D. Akintola
83′
1–2 I. Olawoyin
A. Zeqiri
84′
88′
🔁 L. Marković
↦ A. Maxim
88′
🔁 A. Badji
↦ P. Djilobodji
A. Mocsi 🔁
↦ M. Minchev
90′
2–2 A. Zeqiri
G. Akkan
97′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rizespor

4-2-3-1
23 G. Akkan G
37 T. Şahin D
2 H. Aliqulov D
53 E. Topçu D
5 C. Højer D
24 M. Sarıkaya M
6 J. Shelvey M
11 Gustavo Sauer M
10 I. Olawoyin M
28 D. Akintola M
89 M. Minchev F
Bench (10)
77 A. Zeqiri
9 A. Gaich
8 D. Varešanović
4 A. Mocsi
1 T. Çetin
3 İ. Pehlivan
16 A. Yaşar
27 E. Korkmaz
20 M. Faye
19 O. Diouf

Coach: İ. Palut

Gaziantep

4-1-4-1
33 F. Niţă G
15 E. Ersoy D
63 N. Nkoulou D
3 P. Djilobodji D
22 S. M'Bakata D
61 O. Özçiçek M
18 D. Sorescu M
23 Jamiro Monteiro M
44 A. Maxim M
11 M. Eskihellaç M
70 D. Drăguş F
Bench (10)
5 F. Soyalp
8 M. Jevtović
10 M. Gradel
50 L. Marković
7 A. Badji
91 B. Gölgeli
4 A. Kızıldağ
13 Júnior Morais
19 B. Şen
26 M. Cihan

Coach: S. İnan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,58
B
4,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,93
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bitigen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.