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Svenska Cupen
Referee: M Al Hakim
AIK
S S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Djurgarden
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 90%
80%
100%
Points per game
2,6
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
2,2
3,6
Conceded
0,6
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+3,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match AIK 3. · Djurgarden 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 6 5 1 0 +19 16
2 Djurgarden 5 5 0 0 +17 15
3 AIK 5 4 1 0 +8 13
4 Halmstad 6 4 1 1 +3 13
5 Brommapojkarna 5 3 1 1 +8 10
6 Mjallby 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 Oster 4 3 0 1 +7 9
8 Varnamo 4 3 0 1 +3 9
9 Goteborg 4 3 0 1 +1 9
10 Orebro SK 4 3 0 1 +1 9
11 Sirius 4 2 2 0 +8 8
12 Norrkoping 5 2 2 1 +7 8
13 Degerfors 5 2 2 1 +5 8
14 Hacken 4 2 1 1 +4 7
15 Elfsborg 4 2 1 1 +3 7
16 Hammarby 4 2 1 1 +3 7
17 GAIS 4 2 1 1 +2 7
18 Varberg 4 2 1 1 +2 7
19 Kalmar 4 2 1 1 +2 7
20 Vasteras SK 4 2 1 1 +2 7
21 Trelleborg 4 2 1 1 +1 7
22 Skövde AIK 4 2 0 2 +3 6
23 IK brage 4 1 3 0 +2 6
24 Landskrona 4 2 0 2 +1 6
25 United Nordic 5 2 0 3 -1 6
26 Ostersunds FK 4 2 0 2 -1 6
27 Orgryte 4 2 0 2 -5 6
28 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Sundsvall 4 1 1 2 -1 4
30 IFK Luleå 5 1 1 3 -16 4
31 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +10 3
32 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 +5 3
33 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +4 3
34 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Jönköpings BK 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
37 Berga 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 Karlshamn 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Helsingborg 4 1 0 3 +0 3
42 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Tyresö W 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Dalstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Jonsered 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Zenith 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Lund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Dalkurd FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Rosengård 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 Gefle IF 4 1 0 3 -3 3
56 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -3 3
58 Lucksta 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Utsikten 4 1 0 3 -6 3
60 Skellefteå 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Haninge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Rågsved 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Järfälla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Katrineholms SK 2 0 1 1 -3 1
65 Franke 2 0 1 1 -5 1
66 Roslagsbro 2 0 1 1 -5 1
67 Ahlafors 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 FBK Karlstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Oddevold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Höllviken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 IFK Östersund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Gute 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Åsarp-Trädet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Göteborgs FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Täby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Torstorps 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Oskarshamns AIK 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Jonkopings Sodra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Skå IK Bygdegård 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Högsäter 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Lindsdal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Hemgårdarnas 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -7 0
96 Torestorp-Älekulla 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AIK Djurgarden
M. Thychosen 🟨
9′
9′
🟨 S. Dahl
14′
L. Bergvall 0–1
R. Schüller
A. Bjornstrom 🟨
25′
31′
🔁 H. Radetinac
↦ O. Fallenius
36′
🟨 S. Leach
Half-time 0–1
T. Ayari 🔁
↦ I. Coulibaly
60′
E. Ring 🔁
↦ M. Thychosen
67′
67′
🔁 A. Ekdal
↦ S. Leach Holm
82′
🔁 P. Therkildsen
↦ S. Dahl
82′
🔁 B. Šabović
↦ R. Schüller
V. Andersson 🔁
↦ O. Faraj
84′
90′
🔁 J. Une-Larsson
↦ M. Tenho
1–1 V. Andersson
S. Papagiannopoulos
95′
95′
🟨 T. Gulliksen
96′
🟨 B. Sabovic
T. Ayari 🟨
100′
I. Diawara 🔁
↦ K. Nordfeldt
120′
2–1 I. Pittas
121′
122′
M. Danielson 2–2
A. Salétros
penalty missed
123′
124′
A. Ekdal
penalty missed
3–2 B. Celina
125′
126′
T. Gulliksen 3–3
E. Ring
penalty missed
127′
128′
D. Hümmet 3–4
T. Ayari
penalty missed
129′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

AIK

15 K. Nordfeldt
4 S. Papagiannopoulos
16 B. Hansen
17 M. Thychosen
12 A. Björnström
32 Rui Modesto
10 B. Celina
7 A. Salétros
8 I. Coulibaly
28 I. Pittas
9 O. Faraj
Bench (9)
45 T. Ayari
34 E. Ring
43 V. Andersson
30 I. Diawara
26 R. Bonde
18 A. Ali
19 D. Beširović
37 Ahmad Faqa
24 Lamine Dabo

Coach: H. Berg

Djurgarden

35 J. Widell Zetterström
3 M. Danielson
2 P. Johansson
5 M. Tenho
26 S. Dahl
6 R. Schüller
10 S. Leach Holm
16 T. Gulliksen
21 L. Bergvall
11 D. Hümmet
15 O. Fallenius
Bench (9)
9 H. Radetinac
8 A. Ekdal
17 P. Therkildsen
14 B. Šabović
4 J. Une-Larsson
7 M. Eriksson
18
22 M. Qurbanlı
30 M. Nilsson Säfqvist

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.