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Serie A
Referee: A Giua
Juventus
T U S T U
0–0
Full-time
Genoa
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 45%
61%
29%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
46%
43%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
61%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,03 xG 0,19
66% Possession 34%
17 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 2
11 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 3. · Genoa 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 28 24 3 1 +57 +37.7 75
2 Milan 28 18 5 5 +20 +9.2 59
3 Juventus 28 17 7 4 +21 +23.1 58
4 Bologna 29 15 9 5 +17 +8.4 54
5 Roma 28 14 6 8 +19 +11.4 48
6 Atalanta 28 14 5 9 +19 +10.6 47
7 Napoli 28 12 8 8 +11 +17.9 44
8 Fiorentina 28 12 7 9 +9 +2.5 43
9 Lazio 29 13 4 12 +3 +2.3 43
10 Monza 29 11 9 9 -4 -9.4 42
11 Torino 29 10 11 8 +2 +2.9 41
12 Genoa 28 8 9 11 -5 -4.8 33
13 Lecce 29 6 10 13 -19 -12.9 28
14 Udinese 29 4 15 10 -16 -8.1 27
15 Verona 28 6 8 14 -11 -9.9 26
16 Cagliari 29 6 8 15 -21 -10.1 26
17 Empoli 29 6 7 16 -21 -9.6 25
18 Frosinone 29 6 6 17 -23 -13.2 24
19 Sassuolo 28 6 5 17 -22 -14.6 23
20 Salernitana 29 2 8 19 -36 -33.4 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Genoa
Danilo 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
Andrea Cambiaso 🟨
58′
A. Rabiot 🔁
↦ W. McKennie
58′
S. Iling-Junior 🔁
↦ F. Kostić
59′
K. Yıldız 🔁
↦ F. Chiesa
59′
65′
🟨 Vitinha
69′
🔁 K. Strootman
↦ M. Frendrup
70′
🔁 R. Malinovskyi
↦ A. Guðmundsson
T. Weah 🔁
↦ F. Miretti
78′
79′
🔁 D. Ankeye
↦ M. Retegui
M. Kean 🔁
↦ A. Cambiaso
82′
85′
🔁 E. Bohinen
↦ M. Badelj
85′
🔁 G. Cittadini
↦ M. Bani
Dušan Vlahović 🟨
93′
Dušan Vlahović 🟨
93′
Dušan Vlahović 🟥
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Juventus

3-5-2
1 W. Szczęsny G
4 F. Gatti D
3 Bremer D
6 Danilo D
27 A. Cambiaso M
16 W. McKennie M
5 M. Locatelli M
20 F. Miretti M
11 F. Kostić M
9 D. Vlahović F
7 F. Chiesa F
Bench (13)
25 A. Rabiot
17 S. Iling-Junior
15 K. Yıldız
22 T. Weah
18 M. Kean
24 D. Rugani
47 J. Nonge Boende
12 Alex Sandro
41 H. Nicolussi
2 M. De Sciglio
23 C. Pinsoglio
33 Tiago Djaló
36 M. Perin

Coach: M. Allegri

Genoa

3-4-2-1
1 Josep Martínez G
4 K. De Winter D
13 M. Bani D
22 J. Vásquez D
90 D. Spence M
47 M. Badelj M
32 M. Frendrup M
10 Junior Messias M
9 Vítinha F
11 A. Guðmundsson F
19 M. Retegui F
Bench (11)
8 K. Strootman
17 R. Malinovskyi
30 D. Ankeye
5 E. Bohinen
23 G. Cittadini
16 N. Leali
14 A. Vogliacco
2 M. Thorsby
53 T. Pittino
55 R. Haps
39 D. Sommariva

Coach: A. Gilardino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,52
U ✓
3,99
B
7,24
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,23
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Giua · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.