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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Ath Madrid

U T S T S

0–3

Full-time

Barcelona

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 63%

61%

64%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

61%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

61%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,9

2,0

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,78 xG 1,54

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

8 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 5. · Barcelona 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	29	22	6	1	+44	+29.3	72
2	Girona	29	19	5	5	+25	+10.6	62
3	Barcelona	28	18	7	3	+23	+33.0	61
4	Ath Bilbao	29	16	8	5	+24	+15.3	56
5	Ath Madrid	28	17	4	7	+23	+19.3	55
6	Sociedad	29	12	10	7	+11	+5.7	46
7	Betis	29	10	12	7	+1	-3.9	42
8	Valencia	28	11	7	10	+0	-4.0	40
9	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	-4	-2.6	38
10	Getafe	29	9	11	9	-5	-7.4	38
11	Las Palmas	29	10	7	12	-3	-15.9	37
12	Osasuna	29	10	6	13	-10	-8.1	36
13	Alaves	29	8	8	13	-9	+1.2	32
14	Mallorca	29	6	12	11	-10	-4.8	30
15	Vallecano	29	6	11	12	-13	-4.5	29
16	Sevilla	29	6	10	13	-8	-10.5	28
17	Celta	29	6	9	14	-12	-8.0	27
18	Cadiz	29	3	13	13	-20	-15.4	22
19	Granada	28	2	8	18	-28	-16.4	14
20	Almeria	29	1	10	18	-29	-12.7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	14	13	1	0	+21	+18.3	40
2	Real Madrid	14	12	2	0	+28	+21.2	38
3	Ath Bilbao	15	11	3	1	+22	+15.7	36
4	Girona	14	11	2	1	+21	+9.3	35
5	Barcelona	15	11	1	3	+14	+18.1	34
6	Valencia	14	8	4	2	+10	+3.2	28
7	Getafe	14	8	4	2	+5	-0.6	28
8	Betis	15	7	6	2	+8	+7.0	27
9	Sociedad	14	6	5	3	+6	+3.8	23
10	Las Palmas	15	6	4	5	+4	-4.2	22
11	Mallorca	15	5	7	3	+2	+0.3	22
12	Alaves	14	6	3	5	-1	+5.7	21
13	Osasuna	15	6	3	6	-4	-0.8	21
14	Villarreal	15	5	4	6	+1	+5.7	19
15	Sevilla	15	4	5	6	-2	-2.7	17
16	Cadiz	14	3	7	4	-4	+3.1	16
17	Celta	14	3	4	7	-7	+4.6	13
18	Vallecano	14	2	7	5	-8	-2.9	13
19	Granada	14	2	6	6	-7	-3.7	12
20	Almeria	14	0	8	6	-11	-0.5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	10	4	1	+16	+8.1	34
2	Barcelona	13	7	6	0	+9	+14.9	27
3	Girona	15	8	3	4	+4	+1.3	27
4	Sociedad	15	6	5	4	+5	+1.9	23
5	Ath Bilbao	14	5	5	4	+2	-0.5	20
6	Villarreal	14	5	4	5	-5	-8.3	19
7	Vallecano	15	4	4	7	-5	-1.6	16
8	Ath Madrid	14	4	3	7	+2	+1.0	15
9	Osasuna	14	4	3	7	-6	-7.4	15
10	Betis	14	3	6	5	-7	-10.9	15
11	Las Palmas	14	4	3	7	-7	-11.7	15
12	Celta	15	3	5	7	-5	-12.6	14
13	Valencia	14	3	3	8	-10	-7.2	12
14	Sevilla	14	2	5	7	-6	-7.8	11
15	Alaves	15	2	5	8	-8	-4.5	11
16	Getafe	15	1	7	7	-10	-6.8	10
17	Mallorca	14	1	5	8	-12	-5.1	8
18	Cadiz	15	0	6	9	-16	-18.5	6
19	Almeria	15	1	2	12	-18	-12.2	5
20	Granada	14	0	2	12	-21	-12.7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.