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Bundesliga

Referee: A Kijas

A. Klagenfurt

U S S T U

0–4

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Klagenfurt Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 48%

36%

59%

Points per game

1,5

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

41%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

40% Possession 60%

6 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match A. Klagenfurt 7. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	22	15	5	2	+33	50
2	Sturm Graz	22	13	7	2	+22	46
3	LASK	23	9	9	5	+8	36
4	SK Rapid	23	8	10	5	+17	34
5	Hartberg	22	9	7	6	+5	34
6	Austria Vienna	23	9	7	7	+3	34
7	A. Klagenfurt	22	8	10	4	+2	34
8	Wolfsberger AC	23	8	7	8	-3	31
9	Altach	23	4	8	11	-13	20
10	BW Linz	23	4	8	11	-16	20
11	Tirol	23	4	3	16	-22	15
12	A. Lustenau	23	2	5	16	-36	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	8	1	2	+18	25
2	Sturm Graz	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	LASK	11	6	3	2	+8	21
4	Austria Vienna	11	5	5	1	+7	20
5	Hartberg	11	5	4	2	+1	19
6	Wolfsberger AC	11	5	2	4	+3	17
7	SK Rapid	12	3	6	3	+5	15
8	A. Klagenfurt	11	3	6	2	-1	15
9	Altach	12	3	4	5	-2	13
10	BW Linz	12	2	7	3	-3	13
11	Tirol	12	2	2	8	-9	8
12	A. Lustenau	11	1	0	10	-22	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	7	4	0	+15	25
2	Sturm Graz	11	6	4	1	+9	22
3	SK Rapid	11	5	4	2	+12	19
4	A. Klagenfurt	11	5	4	2	+3	19
5	Hartberg	11	4	3	4	+4	15
6	LASK	12	3	6	3	+0	15
7	Austria Vienna	12	4	2	6	-4	14
8	Wolfsberger AC	12	3	5	4	-6	14
9	A. Lustenau	12	1	5	6	-14	8
10	Altach	11	1	4	6	-11	7
11	BW Linz	11	2	1	8	-13	7
12	Tirol	11	2	1	8	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.