Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aris
Panathinaikos
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olympiakos
|
38 | 28 | 8 | 2 | +61 | 92 |
| 2 |
PAOK
|
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +30 | 71 |
| 3 |
AEK
|
37 | 19 | 7 | 11 | +9 | 64 |
| 4 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +15 | 59 |
| 5 |
Aris
|
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +15 | 59 |
| 6 |
Panathinaikos
|
37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | +9 | 55 |
| 7 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | -5 | 51 |
| 8 |
Volos NFC
|
34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | -5 | 43 |
| 9 |
Giannina
|
33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -5 | 37 |
| 10 |
Atromitos
|
34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -14 | 35 |
| 11 |
Lamia
|
34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -22 | 35 |
| 12 |
Apollon
|
33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -14 | 31 |
| 13 |
OFI Crete
|
34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -21 | 31 |
| 14 |
Panetolikos
|
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -25 | 28 |
| 15 |
Larisa
|
34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -28 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
PAOK
Aris
Aris
Olympiakos
Asteras Tripolis
Aris
Aris
PAOK
Panathinaikos
Aris
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.