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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

Tirol

T S T T U

2–3

Full-time

Sturm Graz

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

2,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 40%

34%

45%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 56%

59%

52%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,4

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

64% Possession 36%

9 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 1

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tirol 8. · Sturm Graz 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	29	22	2	5	+52	68
2	SK Rapid	29	16	8	5	+26	56
3	LASK	29	14	6	9	+16	48
4	Sturm Graz	29	13	8	8	+12	47
5	Wolfsberger AC	29	13	4	12	-4	43
6	Hartberg	30	10	11	9	-13	41
7	Austria Vienna	30	10	9	11	+4	39
8	Tirol	29	10	7	12	-2	37
9	Ried	30	7	9	14	-21	30
10	Altach	30	8	6	16	-25	30
11	Admira	30	6	7	17	-29	25
12	St. Polten	30	5	9	16	-16	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	14	11	1	2	+29	34
2	Sturm Graz	15	10	1	4	+12	31
3	SK Rapid	15	9	3	3	+15	30
4	LASK	15	8	3	4	+15	27
5	Hartberg	15	6	6	3	-1	24
6	Tirol	14	5	4	5	+3	19
7	Austria Vienna	15	4	7	4	+0	19
8	Altach	15	5	4	6	-6	19
9	Ried	15	5	4	6	-9	19
10	Admira	15	4	2	9	-12	14
11	Wolfsberger AC	14	3	3	8	-15	12
12	St. Polten	15	1	5	9	-13	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	15	11	1	3	+23	34
2	Wolfsberger AC	15	10	1	4	+11	31
3	SK Rapid	14	7	5	2	+11	26
4	LASK	14	6	3	5	+1	21
5	Austria Vienna	15	6	2	7	+4	20
6	Tirol	15	5	3	7	-5	18
7	Hartberg	15	4	5	6	-12	17
8	Sturm Graz	14	3	7	4	+0	16
9	St. Polten	15	4	4	7	-3	16
10	Ried	15	2	5	8	-12	11
11	Admira	15	2	5	8	-17	11
12	Altach	15	3	2	10	-19	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.