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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Brest
T T T U U
2–0
Full-time
Monaco
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
0%
45%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 78%
100%
55%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
7 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brest 19. · Monaco 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 10 1 1 +15 31
2 Nice 12 7 3 2 +14 24
3 Lens 12 6 3 3 +7 21
4 Marseille 11 5 4 2 +7 19
5 Rennes 12 5 4 3 +7 19
6 Lyon 12 5 4 3 +3 19
7 Strasbourg 12 5 2 5 +6 17
8 Angers 12 4 5 3 +3 17
9 Monaco 11 5 2 4 +3 17
10 Nantes 12 5 2 5 +2 17
11 Montpellier 12 4 4 4 +1 16
12 Lille 12 4 3 5 -3 15
13 Lorient 12 3 6 3 -6 15
14 Troyes 12 3 4 5 -4 13
15 Clermont 11 3 4 4 -8 13
16 Bordeaux 12 2 6 4 -8 12
17 Reims 12 2 5 5 -3 11
18 Metz 12 1 4 7 -14 7
19 Brest 11 0 6 5 -8 6
20 St Etienne 12 0 6 6 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brest Monaco
17′
🟨 Caio Henrique
1–0 S. Mounié
J. Le Douaron
18′
42′
🟨 Sofiane Diop
Half-time 1–0
L. Brassier 🔁
↦ C. Hérelle
46′
46′
🔁 M. Boadu
↦ S. Diop
Hugo Magnetti 🟨
53′
I. Cardona 🔁
↦ J. Le Douaron
58′
58′
🔁 A. Golovin
↦ Jean Lucas
65′
🔁 D. Sidibé
↦ Gelson Martins
65′
🔁 I. Jakobs
↦ Caio Henrique
2–0 F. Honorat
I. Cardona
79′
81′
🟨 Wissam Ben Yedder
83′
🟨 Kevin Volland
84′
🔁 Y. Fofana
↦ W. Ben Yedder
R. Del Castillo 🔁
↦ R. Faivre
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Brest

4-2-3-1
40 M. Bizot G
23 C. Hérelle D
5 B. Chardonnet D
2 J. Duverne D
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
7 H. Belkebla M
21 R. Faivre M
27 H. Magnetti M
15 S. Mounié F
9 F. Honorat M
26 J. Le Douaron M
Bench (9)
3 L. Brassier
14 I. Cardona
25 R. Del Castillo
1 G. Larsonneur
19 R. Said Ahamada
29 Y. Badji
20 J. Uronen
10 L. Agoume
22 J. Faussurier

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Monaco

4-4-2
16 A. Nübel G
26 R. Aguilar D
3 G. Maripán D
12 Caio Henrique D
5 B. Badiashile D
7 Gelson Martins M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
11 Jean Lucas M
37 S. Diop M
31 K. Volland F
10 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (9)
9 M. Boadu
17 A. Golovin
19 D. Sidibé
14 I. Jakobs
22 Y. Fofana
1 R. Majecki
21 S. Pavlović
6 A. Disasi
39 W. Isidor

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,41
U
3,87
B
1,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.