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Serie A

Referee: A Giua

Fiorentina

S T T S T

3–0

Full-time

Spezia

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

50%

20%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

70%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

60%

80%

Average goals

2,6

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

27 Shots 3

12 Shots on target 0

8 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 9

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 9. · Spezia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	10	9	1	0	+19	28
2	Milan	10	9	1	0	+14	28
3	Inter	11	7	3	1	+16	24
4	Roma	10	6	1	3	+8	19
5	Atalanta	11	5	4	2	+6	19
6	Lazio	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Verona	11	4	3	4	+4	15
8	Juventus	11	4	3	4	+0	15
9	Fiorentina	10	5	0	5	+0	15
10	Torino	11	4	2	5	+4	14
11	Sassuolo	10	4	2	4	+1	14
12	Empoli	10	4	0	6	-6	12
13	Bologna	10	3	3	4	-7	12
14	Udinese	11	2	5	4	-4	11
15	Sampdoria	11	2	3	6	-9	9
16	Venezia	10	2	2	6	-9	8
17	Spezia	10	2	2	6	-11	8
18	Genoa	10	1	4	5	-7	7
19	Salernitana	10	2	1	7	-12	7
20	Cagliari	10	1	3	6	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Napoli	5	5	0	0	+9	15
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Roma	5	4	1	0	+6	13
5	Verona	6	4	0	2	+6	12
6	Inter	5	3	2	0	+11	11
7	Torino	6	3	1	2	+6	10
8	Bologna	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Juventus	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Atalanta	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Udinese	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Cagliari	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Sampdoria	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Venezia	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Spezia	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Salernitana	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Empoli	6	1	0	5	-9	3
20	Genoa	4	0	2	2	-2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Atalanta	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Inter	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Milan	5	4	1	0	+5	13
5	Empoli	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Fiorentina	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Juventus	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Roma	5	2	0	3	+2	6
10	Udinese	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Genoa	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Lazio	6	1	2	3	-6	5
13	Torino	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Venezia	6	1	1	4	-8	4
16	Spezia	5	1	1	3	-9	4
17	Verona	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Salernitana	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-10	2
20	Cagliari	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.