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Eredivisie

Referee: P van Boekel

Utrecht

S S S T S

5–1

Full-time

Willem II

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 55%

60%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

70%

60%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

2,1

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

55% Possession 45%

19 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 4. · Willem II 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	8	2	1	+35	26
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	0	3	+8	24
3	Feyenoord	10	7	1	2	+13	22
4	Utrecht	10	6	2	2	+10	20
5	Vitesse	11	6	1	4	-6	19
6	Willem II	10	5	3	2	+2	18
7	Nijmegen	11	5	2	4	-2	17
8	Twente	11	4	3	4	+0	15
9	Heerenveen	10	4	1	5	-3	13
10	Go Ahead Eagles	10	4	1	5	-6	13
11	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	0	5	+3	12
12	Cambuur	10	4	0	6	-7	12
13	Heracles	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Waalwijk	10	2	4	4	-2	10
15	Groningen	11	2	4	5	-8	10
16	For Sittard	9	2	3	4	-8	9
17	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	4	6	-11	7
18	Zwolle	11	1	1	9	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+26	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	Utrecht	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Heracles	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Willem II	5	3	1	1	-1	10
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	0	1	+7	9
8	Go Ahead Eagles	5	3	0	2	+3	9
9	Cambuur	6	3	0	3	+2	9
10	Twente	5	2	2	1	+2	8
11	Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Waalwijk	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	For Sittard	5	2	1	2	-5	7
14	Groningen	5	1	3	1	+1	6
15	Heerenveen	5	2	0	3	-2	6
16	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	3	2	-3	6
17	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Vitesse	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	6	5	0	1	+0	15
2	Feyenoord	6	4	0	2	+7	12
3	Ajax	5	3	2	0	+9	11
4	Nijmegen	6	3	1	2	-3	10
5	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Willem II	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Heerenveen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Twente	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Groningen	6	1	1	4	-9	4
11	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	1	3	-9	4
12	Waalwijk	5	0	3	2	-2	3
13	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	0	4	-4	3
14	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-9	3
15	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	1	4	-8	1
18	Zwolle	6	0	0	6	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.