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Super League

Referee: A Diamantopoulos

AEK

T S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

This season — Super League · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 66%

75%

57%

Points per game

2,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

75%

29%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

29%

Average goals

3,3

1,9

Scored

2,3

1,4

Conceded

1,0

0,4

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%

5 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 9

8 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 13

1 Offside 0

21 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 2. · Aris Thessalonikis 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	8	6	2	0	+9	20
2	AEK	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	PAOK	8	5	1	2	+7	16
4	Aris Thessalonikis	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Aris	8	4	2	2	+6	14
6	Volos NFC	7	4	1	2	+1	13
7	Panathinaikos	9	3	2	4	+7	11
8	Ionikos	8	3	2	3	-3	11
9	OFI Crete	9	1	7	1	-1	10
10	Giannina	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Asteras Tripolis	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Lamia	9	1	3	5	-4	6
13	Apollon	9	1	3	5	-12	6
14	Panetolikos	9	1	2	6	-12	5
15	Atromitos	9	0	3	6	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Panathinaikos	4	3	1	0	+11	10
3	Volos NFC	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Aris Thessalonikis	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Aris	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Olympiakos	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	PAOK	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Ionikos	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Giannina	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Apollon	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	OFI Crete	4	0	3	1	-2	3
12	Asteras Tripolis	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Lamia	5	0	2	3	-3	2
14	Panetolikos	5	0	1	4	-5	1
15	Atromitos	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	PAOK	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	AEK	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	OFI Crete	5	1	4	0	+1	7
5	Aris Thessalonikis	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Aris	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Giannina	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Lamia	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Volos NFC	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Ionikos	4	1	1	2	-4	4
12	Panetolikos	4	1	1	2	-7	4
13	Atromitos	4	0	2	2	-6	2
14	Apollon	5	0	2	3	-10	2
15	Panathinaikos	5	0	1	4	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.