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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Sociedad
T S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Villarreal
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
57%
43%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
57%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
71%
14%
Average goals
3,3
1,7
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,6
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
5 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 18
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 7. · Villarreal 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 8 7 1 0 +12 22
2 Barcelona 7 6 1 0 +18 19
3 Ath Bilbao 8 5 2 1 +12 17
4 Ath Madrid 8 5 1 2 +7 16
5 Betis 8 5 1 2 +5 16
6 Valencia 8 4 1 3 +6 13
7 Sociedad 7 4 1 2 +1 13
8 Osasuna 8 4 1 3 +1 13
9 Villarreal 7 3 3 1 +8 12
10 Vallecano 8 3 1 4 -2 10
11 Celta 7 3 1 3 -4 10
12 Mallorca 7 2 2 3 -2 8
13 Valladolid 8 2 2 4 -7 8
14 Girona 8 2 1 5 -3 7
15 Almeria 8 2 1 5 -5 7
16 Getafe 8 2 1 5 -8 7
17 Espanol 8 1 3 4 -5 6
18 Sevilla 8 1 3 4 -6 6
19 Cadiz 8 1 2 5 -13 5
20 Elche 7 0 1 6 -15 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,57
U
3,31
B
2,86
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.