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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Kilmarnock
S T T T S
2–2
Full-time
Hearts
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 36%
22%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
63%
Both score Ø 47%
44%
50%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
0,7
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
14 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 11. · Hearts 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 +24 24
2 Rangers 9 7 1 1 +16 22
3 Hibernian 9 5 2 2 +5 17
4 St Mirren 9 5 0 4 -3 15
5 Aberdeen 9 4 1 4 +3 13
6 Hearts 8 4 1 3 +1 13
7 Motherwell 10 4 1 5 +1 13
8 Livingston 9 4 0 5 -5 12
9 ST Johnstone 10 3 1 6 -4 10
10 Ross County 10 2 2 6 -13 8
11 Kilmarnock 9 2 1 6 -11 7
12 Dundee United 9 1 2 6 -14 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Feb -20 Hearts – Kilmarnock 2–3 23. Nov -19 Kilmarnock – Hearts 3–0 5. Oct -19 Hearts – Kilmarnock 0–1

Match report

Kilmarnock Hearts
Half-time 1–0
1–0 C. Stokes ⚽
47′
Danny Armstrong 🟨
57′
2–0 K. Lafferty ⚽
59′
62′
⚽ S. Humphrys 2–1
R. Snodgrass
O. Shaw 🔁
↦ Jordan Jones
66′
C. Doidge 🔁
↦ K. Lafferty
67′
70′
🔁 J. Grant
↦ O. Kiomourtzoglou
J. Wright 🔁
↦ C. Stokes
78′
79′
🟨 Stephen Kingsley
Christian Doidge 🟨
82′
B. Lyons 🔁
↦ B. Alston
87′
R. Alebiosu 🔁
↦ R. McKenzie
87′
87′
🔁 L. Neilson
↦ A. Halliday
94′
⚽ N. Atkinson 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-5-1-1
1 Z. Hemming G
2 L. Mayo D
5 A. Taylor D
6 C. Stokes D
11 D. Armstrong M
8 B. Alston M
4 A. Power M
10 Jordan Jones M
33 B. Chrisene M
7 R. McKenzie F
28 K. Lafferty F
Bench (9)
9 O. Shaw
26 C. Doidge
19 J. Wright
17 B. Lyons
25 R. Alebiosu
31 L. Polworth
21 K. McInroy
20 S. Walker
27 I. Cameron

Coach: D. McInnes

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 C. Gordon G
12 N. Atkinson D
3 S. Kingsley D
19 A. Cochrane D
16 A. Halliday D
8 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
77 R. Snodgrass M
29 S. Humphrys M
17 A. Forrest M
18 B. McKay M
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
7 J. Grant
20 L. Neilson
13 R. Stewart
22 E. Henderson
5 P. Haring
21 T. Sibbick
27 C. Smith
28 Z. Clark
11 G. Mackay-Steven

Coach: R. Neilson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,28
🔒
U ✓
3,45
🔒
B
2,14
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,92
🔒
U2,5
1,87
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.