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LaLiga2
Referee: Iván Caparrós
Cartagena
T S S U S
1–2
Full-time
Leganes
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
63%
13%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
2,8
1,6
Scored
1,6
0,5
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 3. · Leganes 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 9 5 3 1 +3 18
2 Las Palmas 9 4 5 0 +9 17
3 Cartagena 8 5 1 2 +4 16
4 Sp Gijon 9 4 3 2 +5 15
5 Burgos 9 3 6 0 +5 15
6 Eibar 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Albacete 8 4 2 2 +2 14
8 Andorra 8 4 2 2 +1 14
9 Granada 9 4 2 3 +1 14
10 Huesca 9 3 3 3 +2 12
11 Villarreal B 9 3 3 3 -1 12
12 Ponferradina 9 3 2 4 -3 11
13 Ibiza 9 3 2 4 -4 11
14 Levante 8 2 4 2 +2 10
15 Tenerife 8 2 3 3 -1 9
16 Zaragoza 8 2 3 3 -2 9
17 Oviedo 8 2 3 3 -2 9
18 Lugo 9 2 3 4 -3 9
19 Mirandes 8 1 3 4 -5 6
20 Santander 8 1 2 5 -5 5
21 Malaga 8 1 2 5 -7 5
22 Leganes 8 1 1 6 -5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Leganes
Damián Musto 🟨
35′
Pedro Alcalá 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Gaku Shibasaki
1–0 Borja Valle
Delmás
55′
59′
K. Omeruo 1–1
Josema Sánchez
62′
🟨 Iker Undabarrena
Sangalli 🔁
↦ D. Musto
64′
I. Jansson 🔁
↦ Óscar
64′
70′
🔁 Fede Vico
↦ S. Cissé
70′
🔁 A. Nyom
↦ Josema Sánchez
74′
Juan Muñoz 1–2
A. Nyom
Jaime Romero 🔁
↦ Borja Valle
79′
Alfredo Ortuño 🔁
↦ Mikel Rico
79′
81′
🔁 P. Parzyszek
↦ K. Omeruo
81′
🔁 Javier Avilés
↦ Juan Muñoz
82′
🟨 Allan Nyom
F. Feuillassier 🔁
↦ Delmás
87′
87′
🔁 Y. Neyou
↦ José Arnáiz
88′
🟨 Jorge Sáenz
Aarón Escandell ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
100′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-3-3
13 Aarón Escandell G
22 Delmás D
4 Alcalá D
21 Kiko Olivas D
16 Iván Calero D
17 Mikel Rico M
18 D. Musto M
8 P. De Blasis M
11 Óscar F
19 A. Sadiku F
10 Borja Valle F
Bench (10)
15 Sangalli
24 I. Jansson
3 Jaime Romero
9 Alfredo Ortuño
14 F. Feuillassier
12 Lee Sang-Hyeok
1 Marc Martínez
5 Pablo Vázquez
26 José Mari
28 Neskes

Coach: Luis Carrión

Leganes

5-3-2
13 Asier Riesgo G
21 Miramón D
4 K. Omeruo D
3 Jorge Sáenz D
6 Sergio González D
5 Josema Sánchez D
32 S. Cissé M
20 Iker Undabarrena M
8 G. Shibasaki M
11 Juan Muñoz F
10 José Arnáiz F
Bench (12)
14 Fede Vico
2 A. Nyom
24 P. Parzyszek
7 Javier Avilés
16 Y. Neyou
18 Rubén Pardo
35 Sergio Camacho
30 Javi Garrido
27 Naim García
38 Christian
33 Lalo Aguilar
9 Y. Qasmi

Coach: Imanol Idiakez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U
3,04
B ✓
3,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,38
U2,5
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iván Caparrós · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.