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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Mechelen
T T S U T
1–3
Full-time
Anderlecht
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
27%
45%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
73%
64%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 13. · Anderlecht 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 11 10 0 1 +15 30
2 Genk 10 9 1 0 +19 28
3 Club Brugge 11 7 1 3 +11 22
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 6 2 3 +3 20
5 St. Gilloise 8 6 1 1 +6 19
6 Charleroi 11 6 0 5 +1 18
7 Anderlecht 11 5 1 5 +7 16
8 St Truiden 11 3 4 4 -1 13
9 Kortrijk 12 4 1 7 -8 13
10 Westerlo 8 4 0 4 -1 12
11 Standard 8 4 0 4 -2 12
12 Oostende 12 3 3 6 -4 12
13 Mechelen 11 3 2 6 -3 11
14 Gent 7 3 1 3 +2 10
15 Seraing 11 3 1 7 -8 10
16 Seraing United 11 3 1 7 -8 10
17 Eupen 11 3 0 8 -9 9
18 Waregem 12 2 2 8 -14 8
19 Cercle Brugge 7 1 3 3 -6 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Anderlecht
9′
🟨 Amadou Diawara
Thibault Peyre ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
13′
1–0 J. Vanlerberghe
15′
30′
🔁 F. Amuzu
↦ J. Duranville
31′
🟨 Lior Refaelov
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Stroeykens
↦ W. Hoedt
46′
M. Stroeykens 1–1
F. Amuzu
F. Soelle Soelle 🔁
↦ J. Ngoy
63′
67′
M. Stroeykens 1–2
68′
🔁 K. Arnstad
↦ L. Refaelov
71′
Fábio Silva 1–3
M. N'Diaye
Y. Malede 🔁
↦ J. Vanlerberghe
74′
79′
🟨 Mario Stroeykens
84′
🟨 Hendrik Van Crombrugge
S. Oum Gouet 🔁
↦ T. Peyre
86′
J. Hernández 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
86′
86′
🔁 B. Raman
↦ Fábio Silva
87′
🔁 K. Sardella
↦ Y. Verschaeren
Frederic Soelle Soelle 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-1-4-1
1 G. Coucke G
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
27 D. Bates D
21 B. Bolingoli-Mbombo D
30 J. Vanlerberghe M
7 G. Hairemans M
66 B. Verstraete M
16 R. Schoofs M
11 N. Storm M
9 J. Ngoy F
Bench (7)
28 F. Soelle Soelle
10 Y. Malede
17 S. Oum Gouet
8 J. Hernández
6 J. Van Hecke
14 D. Lavalée
15 Y. Thoelen

Coach: D. Buijs

Anderlecht

3-5-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
56 Z. Debast D
4 W. Hoedt D
3 H. Delcroix D
62 A. Murillo M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
21 A. Diawara M
11 L. Refaelov M
5 M. N'Diaye M
59 J. Duranville F
99 Fábio Silva F
Bench (7)
7 F. Amuzu
29 M. Stroeykens
61 K. Arnstad
9 B. Raman
54 K. Sardella
16 B. Verbruggen
70 S. Esposito

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,75
U
3,77
B ✓
1,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,16
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.