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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Montpellier
S T T S T
0–2
Full-time
Monaco
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,8
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
89%
67%
Both score Ø 78%
78%
78%
Average goals
4,4
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,9
Conceded
2,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 10. · Monaco 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 8 2 0 +23 26
2 Marseille 10 7 2 1 +13 23
3 Lorient 9 7 1 1 +6 22
4 Lens 9 6 3 0 +10 21
5 Monaco 9 5 2 2 +4 17
6 Rennes 9 4 3 2 +8 15
7 Lyon 10 4 2 4 +5 14
8 Lille 9 4 1 4 -1 13
9 Clermont 9 4 1 4 -2 13
10 Montpellier 9 4 0 5 +2 12
11 Toulouse 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Troyes 9 3 2 4 -2 11
13 Nice 9 2 2 5 -5 8
14 Reims 10 1 5 4 -7 8
15 Auxerre 9 2 2 5 -11 8
16 Angers 9 2 2 5 -12 8
17 Nantes 9 1 4 4 -6 7
18 Ajaccio 10 2 1 7 -8 7
19 Brest 9 1 3 5 -10 6
20 Strasbourg 9 0 5 4 -5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Monaco
Maxime Estève 🟨
10′
26′
🟨 Caio Henrique
Half-time 0–1
46′
B. Embolo 0–1
W. Ben Yedder
46′
🔁 K. Diatta
↦ M. Akliouche
W. Khazri 🔁
↦ S. Mavididi
62′
F. Maouassa 🔁
↦ A. Nordin
62′
65′
🟨 Benoît Badiashile
71′
🟨 Mohamed Camara
73′
🔁 M. Boadu
↦ B. Embolo
80′
M. Boadu 0–2
Caio Henrique
K. Fayad 🔁
↦ J. Chotard
82′
V. Germain 🔁
↦ J. Ferri
82′
F. Sacko 🔁
↦ E. Tchato
82′
84′
🔁 I. Jakobs
↦ Caio Henrique
87′
🔁 T. Minamino
↦ W. Ben Yedder
Christopher Jullien 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
1 J. Omlin G
29 E. Tchato D
6 C. Jullien D
14 M. Estève D
31 N. Cozza D
12 J. Ferri M
13 J. Chotard M
7 A. Nordin M
11 T. Savanier M
10 S. Mavididi M
21 E. Wahi F
Bench (9)
99 W. Khazri
27 F. Maouassa
22 K. Fayad
9 V. Germain
77 F. Sacko
19 S. Delaye
90 B. Kamara
18 L. Leroy
2 A. Souquet

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Monaco

4-4-2
16 A. Nübel G
2 Vanderson D
6 A. Disasi D
5 B. Badiashile D
12 Caio Henrique D
21 M. Akliouche M
4 M. Camara M
19 Y. Fofana M
17 A. Golovin M
36 B. Embolo F
10 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (9)
27 K. Diatta
9 M. Boadu
14 I. Jakobs
18 T. Minamino
30 T. Didillon
15 E. Matazo
11 Jean Lucas
3 G. Maripán
23 M. Sarr

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,67
U
3,98
B ✓
1,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.