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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Rennes
S U U S S
3–0
Full-time
Nantes
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
44%
11%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 73%
78%
67%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 7. · Nantes 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 8 2 0 +23 26
2 Lorient 10 8 1 1 +7 25
3 Marseille 10 7 2 1 +13 23
4 Lens 9 6 3 0 +10 21
5 Monaco 10 6 2 2 +6 20
6 Clermont 10 5 1 4 -1 16
7 Rennes 9 4 3 2 +8 15
8 Lyon 10 4 2 4 +5 14
9 Lille 9 4 1 4 -1 13
10 Montpellier 10 4 0 6 +0 12
11 Toulouse 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Troyes 10 3 2 5 -3 11
13 Nice 10 3 2 5 -4 11
14 Strasbourg 10 1 5 4 -4 8
15 Reims 10 1 5 4 -7 8
16 Auxerre 10 2 2 6 -12 8
17 Angers 10 2 2 6 -13 8
18 Nantes 9 1 4 4 -6 7
19 Ajaccio 10 2 1 7 -8 7
20 Brest 10 1 3 6 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Nantes
1–0 A. Gouiri
26′
Half-time 1–0
Hamari Traore 🟨
61′
71′
🔁 I. Ganago
↦ S. Moutoussamy
L. Majer 🔁
↦ A. Kalimuendo
75′
L. Ugochukwu 🔁
↦ Xeka
75′
2–0 M. Terrier
A. Gouiri
79′
81′
🔁 S. Corchia
↦ D. Appiah
81′
🔁 E. Guessand
↦ M. Sissoko
D. Doué 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
83′
3–0 D. Doué
M. Terrier
84′
Joe Rodon 🟥
88′
M. Abline 🔁
↦ A. Gouiri
88′
K. Sulemana 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
30 S. Mandanda G
27 H. Traoré D
2 J. Rodon D
5 A. Theate D
3 A. Truffert D
14 B. Bourigeaud M
80 Xeka M
20 F. Tait M
7 M. Terrier M
9 A. Kalimuendo F
19 A. Gouiri F
Bench (9)
21 L. Majer
6 L. Ugochukwu
33 D. Doué
28 M. Abline
10 K. Sulemana
1 D. Alemdar
15 C. Wooh
25 B. Meling
22 L. Assignon

Coach: B. Génésio

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lafont G
12 D. Appiah D
21 J. Castelletto D
4 N. Pallois D
29 Q. Merlin D
8 S. Moutoussamy M
5 Chirivella M
10 L. Blas M
17 M. Sissoko M
27 M. Simon M
31 Mostafa Mohamed F
Bench (9)
14 I. Ganago
24 S. Corchia
7 E. Guessand
3 Andrei Girotto
55 K. Bamba
16 R. Descamps
20 L. Doucet
30 D. Petrić
11 M. Coco

Coach: A. Kombouare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
4,52
B
6,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.