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Süper Lig
Referee: A Bitigen
Antalyaspor
T U T S S
4–2
Full-time
Karagumruk
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
45%
64%
Both score Ø 55%
45%
64%
Average goals
3,1
3,5
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

55% Possession 45%
22 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antalyaspor 12. · Karagumruk 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 11 8 2 1 +22 26
2 Galatasaray 12 7 3 2 +6 24
3 Buyuksehyr 11 7 2 2 +11 23
4 Ad. Demirspor 12 6 5 1 +10 23
5 Kayserispor 13 7 2 4 +6 23
6 Besiktas 13 6 4 3 +8 22
7 Trabzonspor 11 6 3 2 +3 21
8 Konyaspor 12 5 5 2 +6 20
9 Alanyaspor 13 4 4 5 -5 16
10 Gaziantep 12 4 3 5 +0 15
11 Kasimpasa 13 4 3 6 -11 15
12 Antalyaspor 11 4 1 6 -4 13
13 Karagumruk 11 3 3 5 -1 12
14 Ankaragücü 12 3 3 6 -5 12
15 Giresunspor 12 3 3 6 -8 12
16 Sivasspor 12 2 4 6 -5 10
17 Hatayspor 11 3 1 7 -11 10
18 İstanbulspor 12 2 2 8 -13 8
19 Ümraniyespor 12 1 3 8 -9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antalyaspor Karagumruk
4′
E. Colley 0–1
M. Diagne
19′
M. Diagne 0–2
E. Colley
H. Ghacha 🔁
↦ C. Luyindama
26′
30′
🟨 Emiliano Viviano
1–2 H. Wright
B. Balcı
35′
2–2 G. Vural
41′
Half-time 3–2
3–2 V. Sarı
Fernando
47′
50′
🟨 Otabek Shukurov
55′
🟨 Magomed Ozdoev
Luiz Adriano 🔁
↦ S. Larsson
68′
68′
🔁 K. Frei
↦ M. Ozdoev
4–2 G. Vural
84′
S. Aydoğdu 🔁
↦ Fernando
87′
G. Bayrakdar 🔁
↦ H. Wright
87′
A. Mehmedi 🔁
↦ S. Nakajima
87′
89′
🔁 S. Dursun
↦ D. Biraschi
89′
🔁 L. Mercan
↦ J. Kouassi
Soner Aydoğdu 🟨
95′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Antalyaspor

5-4-1
1 A. Uysal G
7 B. Balcı D
89 V. Sarı D
28 C. Luyindama D
13 F. Kudryashov D
11 G. Vural D
22 S. Nakajima M
8 Fernando M
19 U. Akyol M
20 S. Larsson M
9 H. Wright F
Bench (10)
27 H. Ghacha
10 Luiz Adriano
5 S. Aydoğdu
17 G. Bayrakdar
14 A. Mehmedi
30 M. Erdilman
25 R. Boffin
88 H. Özmert
21 Ö. Toprak
2 S. Floranus

Coach: N. Şahin

Karagumruk

4-3-3
2 E. Viviano G
4 D. Biraschi D
99 R. Baniya D
5 I. Drešević D
88 C. Erkin D
21 J. Durmaz M
29 O. Shukurov M
27 M. Ozdoev M
19 E. Colley F
9 M. Diagne F
70 J. Kouassi F
Bench (10)
11 K. Frei
54 S. Dursun
18 L. Mercan
24 L. Nicholas
86 B. Bekaroğlu
1 B. Şen
17 S. Onur
44 S. Caulker
3 E. Tintiş
8 M. Ricci

Coach: A. Pirlo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,58
B
3,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bitigen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.