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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Oostende
U T T S T
3–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
69%
56%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
22 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Oostende 15. · Kortrijk 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 14 13 1 0 +30 40
2 St. Gilloise 14 11 2 1 +16 35
3 Antwerp 15 11 1 3 +14 34
4 Club Brugge 15 10 1 4 +15 31
5 Gent 14 8 2 4 +11 26
6 St Truiden 17 7 5 5 +0 26
7 Anderlecht 16 7 2 7 +9 23
8 Cercle Brugge 14 6 4 4 +3 22
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 16 6 4 6 -1 22
10 Charleroi 17 7 1 9 -6 22
11 Standard 13 7 0 6 +1 21
12 Westerlo 14 5 3 6 -5 18
13 Mechelen 17 5 3 9 -7 18
14 Kortrijk 16 4 3 9 -12 15
15 Oostende 16 4 3 9 -13 15
16 Waregem 17 4 3 10 -15 15
17 Eupen 17 5 0 12 -16 15
18 Seraing 16 3 2 11 -12 11
19 Seraing United 16 3 2 11 -12 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Kortrijk
1–0 F. Hornby
8′
12′
🟨 Habib Keita
19′
M. Bruno 1–1
H. Keïta
33′
🟨 Habib Keita
33′
🟥 Habib Keita
42′
🟨 Aleksandar Radovanović
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Tanaka
↦ F. Selemani
2–1 C. McGeehan
54′
F. Katelaris 🔁
↦ B. Capon
61′
D. Atanga 🔁
↦ I. Boonen
61′
A. Albanese 🔁
↦ R. DHaese
65′
66′
🔁 D. Henen
↦ M. Bruno
67′
🔁 D. Mbayo
↦ B. Messaoudi
Anton Tanghe 🟨
72′
74′
ℹ️ Felipe Avenatti
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Fraser Hornby 🟨
83′
M. Osifo 🔁
↦ Kenny Rocha Santos
90′
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 🟨
91′
3–1 C. McGeehan
T. Ambrose
96′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Oostende

3-4-1-2
1 D. Phillips G
2 O. Urhoghide D
33 A. Tanghe D
27 B. Capon D
29 R. D'Haese M
10 Kenny Rocha Santos M
8 C. McGeehan M
18 T. Sakamoto M
11 I. Boonen F
9 F. Hornby F
68 T. Ambrose F
Bench (7)
5 F. Katelaris
77 D. Atanga
99 A. Albanese
19 M. Osifo
28 G. Hubert
7 T. Ndicka
34 N. Bätzner

Coach: D. Thalhammer

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
31 M. Ilić G
6 O. Sych D
24 D. Dessoleil D
66 A. Radovanović D
30 K. D'Haene D
12 H. Keïta M
4 T. Watanabe M
10 F. Selemani M
9 B. Messaoudi M
70 M. Bruno M
20 F. Avenatti F
Bench (7)
32 S. Tanaka
77 D. Henen
7 D. Mbayo
1 T. Vandenberghe
25 N. Mehssatou
33 S. Lončar
44 João Silva

Coach: A. Čustović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
3,55
B
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.