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Super League

Referee: M Redder

Panathinaikos

U S S U S

2–3

Full-time

PAOK

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

This season — Super League · 29/30 matches

Win Ø 65%

66%

63%

Points per game

2,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

66%

63%

Both score Ø 42%

41%

43%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

63% Possession 37%

18 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 9

4 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 3. · PAOK 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	29	19	9	1	+40	66
2	Olympiakos	29	20	3	6	+36	63
3	Panathinaikos	29	19	5	5	+43	62
4	PAOK	30	19	4	7	+42	61
5	Aris Thessalonikis	27	13	6	8	+11	45
6	Aris	27	13	6	8	+11	45
7	Lamia	29	10	8	11	-12	38
8	Atromitos	30	8	11	11	-14	35
9	Asteras Tripolis	30	10	4	16	-14	34
10	Panserraikos	30	7	10	13	-19	31
11	OFI Crete	30	6	12	12	-18	30
12	Volos NFC	30	6	8	16	-24	26
13	Panetolikos	30	5	9	16	-24	24
14	Kifisia	30	3	12	15	-32	21
15	Giannina	30	3	11	16	-26	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	14	11	3	0	+24	36
2	Panathinaikos	14	10	3	1	+27	33
3	Olympiakos	15	11	0	4	+24	33
4	PAOK	16	10	3	3	+22	33
5	Aris Thessalonikis	13	8	3	2	+10	27
6	Aris	13	8	3	2	+10	27
7	OFI Crete	15	6	6	3	+5	24
8	Lamia	15	7	2	6	-3	23
9	Panserraikos	15	5	7	3	+1	22
10	Atromitos	15	5	6	4	-3	21
11	Asteras Tripolis	15	6	3	6	-5	21
12	Panetolikos	15	5	3	7	-8	18
13	Volos NFC	15	4	3	8	-8	15
14	Giannina	15	2	7	6	-8	13
15	Kifisia	15	2	7	6	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	15	8	6	1	+16	30
2	Olympiakos	14	9	3	2	+12	30
3	Panathinaikos	15	9	2	4	+16	29
4	PAOK	14	9	1	4	+20	28
5	Aris Thessalonikis	14	5	3	6	+1	18
6	Aris	14	5	3	6	+1	18
7	Lamia	14	3	6	5	-9	15
8	Atromitos	15	3	5	7	-11	14
9	Asteras Tripolis	15	4	1	10	-9	13
10	Volos NFC	15	2	5	8	-16	11
11	Panserraikos	15	2	3	10	-20	9
12	Kifisia	15	1	5	9	-23	8
13	Giannina	15	1	4	10	-18	7
14	Panetolikos	15	0	6	9	-16	6
15	OFI Crete	15	0	6	9	-23	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.