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Super League
AEK
U S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Aris
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Super League · 32/30 matches
Win Ø 55%
63%
47%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
69%
43%
Both score Ø 48%
56%
40%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
2,3
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

16 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 2
21 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 3. · Aris 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 34 23 5 6 +49 74
2 Olympiakos 33 23 3 7 +45 72
3 AEK 32 20 10 2 +40 70
4 PAOK 33 21 5 7 +45 68
5 Aris Thessalonikis 30 14 6 10 +8 48
6 Aris 30 14 6 10 +8 48
7 Lamia 34 10 8 16 -24 38
8 Asteras Tripolis 32 11 4 17 -14 37
9 Atromitos 32 8 13 11 -14 37
10 OFI Crete 32 7 13 12 -14 34
11 Panserraikos 32 7 12 13 -19 33
12 Volos NFC 32 7 9 16 -23 30
13 Panetolikos 32 6 9 17 -24 27
14 Kifisia 32 4 12 16 -32 24
15 Giannina 32 3 11 18 -31 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,21
U
6,03
B
12,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.