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Super League
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Olympiakos
S T T S T
2–0
Full-time
AEK
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 71%
71%
71%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
43%
14%
Both score Ø 36%
43%
29%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 2. · AEK 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 8 6 2 0 +9 20
2 Olympiakos 7 5 1 1 +11 16
3 AEK 7 5 1 1 +4 16
4 Levadeiakos 9 3 4 2 +9 13
5 Panathinaikos 8 3 4 1 +3 13
6 Aris Thessalonikis 8 3 3 2 -1 12
7 Aris 8 3 3 2 -1 12
8 Volos NFC 9 4 0 5 -4 12
9 Panetolikos 9 3 2 4 -4 11
10 Atromitos 9 2 3 4 +0 9
11 Kifisia 9 2 3 4 -1 9
12 OFI Crete 8 3 0 5 -4 9
13 Larisa 8 1 4 3 -4 7
14 Panserraikos 9 1 3 5 -10 6
15 Asteras Tripolis 8 0 3 5 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos AEK
Daniel Podence 🟨
24′
1–0 A. El Kaabi ⚽
33′
Dani García 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🟨 Aboubakary Koita
62′
🔁 D. Kutesa
↦ D. Kaloskamis
Chiquinho 🔁
↦ R. Cabella
63′
63′
🔁 M. Gacinovic
↦ R. Marin
66′
🟨 Petros Mantalos
2–0 M. Taremi ⚽
D. Podence
67′
L. Scipioni 🔁
↦ D. Garcia
69′
Rodinei 🔁
↦ M. Taremi
69′
71′
🔁 Joao Mario
↦ P. Mantalos
71′
🔁 F. Pierrot
↦ A. Koita
Panagiotis Retsos 🟨
73′
79′
🔁 S. Pilios
↦ J. Penrice
G. Strefezza 🔁
↦ D. Podence
83′
R. Yaremchuk 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
5 L. Pirola D
70 B. Onyemaechi D
32 S. Hezze M
14 D. Garcia M
90 R. Cabella M
99 M. Taremi M
56 D. Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (12)
1 A. Paschalakis
4 G. Biancone
8 D. Nascimento
11 R. Yaremchuk
16 L. Scipioni
22 Chiquinho
23 Rodinei
27 G. Strefezza
39 Gustavo Mancha
80 S. Pnevmonidis
96 C. Mouzakitis
97 Y. Yazici

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar Etxebarria

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
44 F. Relvas D
29 J. Penrice D
13 O. Pineda M
18 R. Marin M
17 D. Kaloskamis
20 P. Mantalos M
11 A. Koita M
9 L. Jovic F
Bench (12)
81 A. Angelopoulos
91 A. Brignoli
3 S. Pilios
4 M. Grujic
6 J. Jonsson
7 D. Kutesa
8 M. Gacinovic
10 Joao Mario
14 F. Pierrot
23 R. Ljubicic
34 C. Kosidis
55 K. Chrysopoulos

Coach: Marko Nikolić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,77
U
3,48
B
4,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 89 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.