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Conference League
Referee: Jasper Vergoote
AEK
U S T S T
6–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 22%
43%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
43%
100%
Both score Ø 79%
57%
100%
Average goals
2,4
5,0
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

5,13 xG 0,45
73% Possession 27%
27 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

AEK Aberdeen
1–0 A. Koita ⚽
O. Pineda
11′
2–0 A. Koita ⚽
L. Rota
18′
3–0 N. Eliasson ⚽
O. Pineda
27′
32′
🔁 A. Dorrington
↦ T. Keskinen
Filipe Relvas 🟨
35′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 D. Polvara
↦ G. Shinnie
46′
🔁 A. Palaversa
↦ A. Aouchiche
4–0 R. Marin ⚽
F. Pierrot
55′
59′
🟨 Mats Knoester
62′
🔁 L. Clarkson
↦ S. Armstrong
D. Kutesa 🔁
↦ A. Koita
64′
L. Jovic 🔁
↦ F. Pierrot
68′
R. Ljubicic 🔁
↦ R. Marin
68′
72′
🔁 K. Yengi
↦ J. Karlsson
M. Grujic 🔁
↦ P. Mantalos
76′
M. Gacinovic 🔁
↦ L. Rota
76′
5–0 L. Jovic ⚽
M. Gacinovic
81′
6–0 D. Kutesa ⚽
R. Ljubicic
87′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
44 F. Relvas D
29 J. Penrice D
18 R. Marin M
13 O. Pineda M
19 N. Eliasson M
20 P. Mantalos M
11 A. Koita M
14 F. Pierrot F
Bench (11)
81 A. Angelopoulos
91 A. Brignoli
2 H. Moukoudi
3 S. Pilios
4 M. Grujic
7 D. Kutesa
8 M. Gacinovic
9 L. Jovic
23 R. Ljubicic
34 C. Kosidis
55 K. Chrysopoulos

Coach: Marko Nikolić

Aberdeen

3-4-2-1
1 D. Mitov G
2 N. Devlin D
22 J. Milne D
5 M. Knoester D
28 A. Jensen M
4 G. Shinnie M
16 S. Armstrong M
81 T. Keskinen M
7 A. Aouchiche F
17 J. Karlsson F
27 M. Lazetic F
Bench (11)
13 N. Suman
41 R. Vitols
8 D. Polvara
9 K. Yengi
10 L. Clarkson
11 N. Milanovic
15 K. Nisbet
18 A. Palaversa
21 G. Molloy
26 A. Dorrington
38 D. Lobban

Coach: Bo Jimmy Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jasper Vergoote · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.