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Super League

Referee: Alexandros Tsakalidis

Larisa

U U U U T

0–2

Full-time

Olympiakos

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa Olympiakos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Super League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

42% Possession 58%

4 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 21

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Larisa 14. · Olympiakos 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	6	5	1	0	+6	16
2	PAOK	6	4	2	0	+4	14
3	Olympiakos	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Levadeiakos	6	3	1	2	+9	10
5	Aris Thessalonikis	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Aris	6	3	1	2	-1	10
7	OFI Crete	6	3	0	3	+0	9
8	Volos NFC	7	3	0	4	-2	9
9	Panathinaikos	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Kifisia	7	2	1	4	-1	7
11	Panetolikos	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Panserraikos	7	1	3	3	-7	6
13	Atromitos	7	1	2	4	-2	5
14	Larisa	6	0	4	2	-4	4
15	Asteras Tripolis	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Levadeiakos	4	3	0	1	+10	9
3	Olympiakos	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	AEK	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	OFI Crete	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Panathinaikos	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Aris Thessalonikis	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Panserraikos	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Aris	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Volos NFC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Kifisia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
12	Asteras Tripolis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Larisa	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Atromitos	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Panetolikos	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Panetolikos	4	2	1	1	-2	7
3	Volos NFC	5	2	0	3	-1	6
4	Aris Thessalonikis	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Aris	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Kifisia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	PAOK	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Olympiakos	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Atromitos	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Panathinaikos	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	OFI Crete	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Larisa	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Panserraikos	4	0	2	2	-7	2
14	Levadeiakos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Asteras Tripolis	4	0	0	4	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.