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Super League
Referee: Alexandros Katsikogiannis
Olympiakos
S S S U U
3–2
Full-time
Levadeiakos
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Levadeiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
This season — Super League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
19 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Levadeiakos 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 4 3 1 0 +9 10
2 AEK 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 PAOK 4 3 1 0 +3 10
4 Aris Thessalonikis 4 3 0 1 +2 9
5 Aris 4 3 0 1 +2 9
6 Levadeiakos 4 2 1 1 +4 7
7 Panetolikos 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 Volos NFC 5 2 0 3 -4 6
9 Atromitos 5 1 1 3 -1 4
10 Kifisia 5 1 1 3 -2 4
11 Larisa 4 0 3 1 -1 3
12 OFI Crete 3 1 0 2 -4 3
13 Panathinaikos 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Asteras Tripolis 4 0 1 3 -4 1
15 Panserraikos 4 0 1 3 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Levadeiakos
Francisco Ortega 🟨
19′
29′
🟨 Joel Abu Hanna
1–0 P. Retsos
C. Mouzakitis
43′
Half-time 1–0
Santiago Hezze 🟨
50′
57′
🟨 Panagiotis Liagas
58′
S. Palacios 1–1
A. Ozbolt
2–1 Chiquinho
60′
63′
🟨 Enis Çokaj
G. Martins 🔁
↦ G. Strefezza
65′
D. Garcia 🔁
↦ C. Mouzakitis
65′
72′
🟨 Giannis Kosti
Rodinei 🔁
↦ Costinha
75′
R. Cabella 🔁
↦ D. Podence
75′
75′
🔁 K. Goumas
↦ E. Cokaj
75′
🔁 G. Manthatis
↦ H. Layous
79′
K. Goumas 2–2
G. Manthatis
3–2 Chiquinho
D. Garcia
90′
98′
🔁 F. Pedrozo
↦ S. Palacios
103′
🟨 Fabricio Pedrozo
M. Taremi 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
104′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
5 L. Pirola D
3 F. Ortega D
96 C. Mouzakitis M
32 S. Hezze M
27 G. Strefezza M
22 Chiquinho M
56 D. Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (12)
1 A. Paschalakis
4 G. Biancone
6 A. Kalogeropoulos
39 Gustavo Mancha
23 Rodinei
10 G. Martins
90 R. Cabella
14 D. Garcia
8 D. Nascimento
80 S. Pnevmonidis
97 Y. Yazici
99 M. Taremi

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar Etxebarria

Levadeiakos

4-2-3-1
12 Y. Lodygin G
6 T. Tsapras D
24 P. Liagas D
4 J. Abu Hanna D
3 P. Vichos D
23 E. Cokaj M
36 A. Tshibola M
34 S. Palacios M
18 I. Kosti M
7 H. Layous M
9 A. Ozbolt F
Bench (12)
88 L. Anacker
99 G. Sourdis
22 T. Filon
2 G. Katris
37 G. Tsivelekidis
28 K. Verris
85 K. Goumas
19 L. Jallow
14 G. Manthatis
8 K. Plegas
31 P. Symelidis
15 F. Pedrozo

Coach: Nikolaos Papadopoulos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,18
U
6,02
B
12,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.