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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
St Mirren
T S T T T
0–0
Full-time
Hamilton
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hamilton
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

15 Shots 3
2 Shots on target 1
8 Corners 6
12 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St Mirren 10. · Hamilton 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 5 5 0 0 +15 15
2 Rangers 5 4 0 1 +7 12
3 Motherwell 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Aberdeen 5 2 2 1 +3 8
5 Livingston 5 2 2 1 +2 8
6 Kilmarnock 5 2 1 2 +0 7
7 Ross County 5 2 1 2 -2 7
8 Hamilton 5 1 1 3 -4 4
9 Hibernian 5 1 1 3 -9 4
10 St Mirren 5 1 0 4 -3 3
11 ST Johnstone 5 0 3 2 -8 3
12 Hearts 5 0 2 3 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Hamilton
21′
🟨 George Oakley
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 George Oakley
50′
🟥 George Oakley
K. McAllister 🔁
↦ Í. Durmuş
62′
62′
🔁 R. Hughes
↦ W. Collar
D. Mullen 🔁
↦ T. Andreu
69′
74′
🔁 D. Moyo
↦ M. Ogboe
J. Obika 🔁
↦ J. Morias
76′
78′
🔁 A. Beck
↦ L. Smith
Kyle McAllister 🟨
85′
90′
🟨 Aaron McGowan
90′
🟨 Owain Fôn Williams
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

4-2-3-1
1 V. Hladký G
21 K. Broadfoot D
2 P. McGinn D
3 C. Waters D
5 S. McLoughlin D
8 R. Flynn M
16 S. Foley M
10 T. Andreu M
11 Í. Durmuş M
7 K. Magennis M
19 J. Morias F
Bench (7)
14 K. McAllister
18 D. Mullen
9 J. Obika
23 O. Djorkaeff
26 D. Lyness
4 S. McGinn
38 C. Breadner

Coach: J. Goodwin

Hamilton

4-4-2
1 O. Williams G
24 B. Easton D
13 A. Gogić
3 S. McMann D
2 A. McGowan D
26 S. Stubbs D
10 B. Alston M
28 L. Smith M
7 W. Collar M
9 G. Oakley M
99 M. Ogboe F
Bench (7)
15 R. Hughes
20 D. Moyo
17 A. Beck
5 M. Fjørtoft
8 S. Davies
31 L. Southwood
21 S. Want

Coach: B. Rice

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,86
U ✓
3,44
B
4,24
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.