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Serie A
Referee: F Maresca
Torino
T U T T S
0–3
Full-time
Inter
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
58%
75%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%
5 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 11. · Inter 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 13 11 2 0 +13 35
2 Inter 12 10 1 1 +14 31
3 Lazio 12 7 3 2 +15 24
4 Cagliari 12 7 3 2 +11 24
5 Atalanta 13 6 4 3 +10 22
6 Roma 12 6 4 2 +6 22
7 Napoli 13 5 5 3 +6 20
8 Parma 12 5 2 5 +3 17
9 Fiorentina 12 4 4 4 -1 16
10 Verona 12 4 3 5 -1 15
11 Torino 12 4 2 6 -2 14
12 Milan 13 4 2 7 -5 14
13 Udinese 12 4 2 6 -10 14
14 Sassuolo 11 4 1 6 +0 13
15 Bologna 12 3 3 6 -4 12
16 Lecce 12 2 4 6 -10 10
17 Genoa 12 2 3 7 -12 9
18 Sampdoria 12 2 3 7 -12 9
19 Spal 12 2 2 8 -11 8
20 Brescia 11 2 1 8 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Inter
12′
Lautaro Martínez 0–1
Simone Zaza 🔁
↦ Andrea Belotti
12′
32′
Stefan de Vrij 0–2
35′
🟨 Lautaro Martínez
45′
🔁 Borja Valero
↦ Nicolò Barella
Half-time 0–3
55′
Romelu Lukaku 0–3
Marcelo Brozović
Ola Aina 🔁
↦ Gleison Bremer
56′
58′
🟨 Danilo D'Ambrosio
Armando Izzo 🟨
59′
64′
🟨 Milan Škriniar
69′
🔁 Antonio Candreva
↦ Lautaro Martínez
Alex Berenguer 🔁
↦ Daniele Baselli
71′
Ola Aina 🟨
73′
83′
🔁 Federico Dimarco
↦ Danilo D'Ambrosio
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Torino

3-5-2
39 Salvatore Sirigu G
5 Armando Izzo D
33 Nicolas N'Koulou D
36 Gleison Bremer D
29 Lorenzo De Silvestri M
7 Saša Lukić M
8 Daniele Baselli M
23 Soualiho Meïté M
15 Cristian Ansaldi M
24 Simone Verdi F
9 Andrea Belotti F
Bench (8)
25 Antonio Rosati
18 Samir Ujkani
34 Ola Aina
30 Koffi Djidji
88 Tomás Rincón
20 Simone Edera
21 Alex Berenguer
11 Simone Zaza

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Inter

3-5-2
1 Samir Handanovič G
2 Diego Godín D
6 Stefan de Vrij D
37 Milan Škriniar D
33 Danilo D'Ambrosio M
8 Matías Vecino M
77 Marcelo Brozović M
23 Nicolò Barella M
34 Cristiano Biraghi M
9 Romelu Lukaku F
10 Lautaro Martínez F
Bench (11)
46 Tommaso Berni
27 Daniele Padelli
95 Alessandro Bastoni
13 Andrea Ranocchia
21 Federico Dimarco
87 Antonio Candreva
32 Lucien Agoumé
19 Valentino Lazaro
20 Borja Valero
30 Sebastiano Esposito
40 Matias Fonseca

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,36
U
3,57
B ✓
1,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.