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Eredivisie
Referee: Joey Kooij
Zwolle
T S T T T
3–1
Full-time
For Sittard
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
23%
23%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
85%
69%
Both score Ø 62%
62%
62%
Average goals
3,9
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
2,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Zwolle 16. · For Sittard 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 13 11 2 0 +34 35
2 AZ Alkmaar 14 10 2 2 +26 32
3 PSV Eindhoven 13 7 3 3 +12 24
4 Utrecht 14 7 2 5 +7 23
5 Vitesse 13 7 2 4 +5 23
6 Willem II 13 7 1 5 -2 22
7 Heracles 13 6 3 4 +6 21
8 Heerenveen 13 5 6 2 +6 21
9 Groningen 13 6 2 5 +3 20
10 Feyenoord 13 5 5 3 +1 20
11 Twente 13 5 3 5 -1 18
12 Sparta Rotterdam 13 4 4 5 -2 16
13 FC Emmen 13 4 1 8 -12 13
14 For Sittard 13 3 3 7 -14 12
15 Den Haag 13 3 1 9 -9 10
16 Zwolle 13 3 1 9 -13 10
17 VVV Venlo 13 3 0 10 -25 9
18 Waalwijk 13 1 1 11 -22 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle For Sittard
1–0 M. Saymak
R. Ghoochannejhad
4′
I. Bel Hassani 🔁
↦ M. Saymak
28′
42′
🟥 Amadou Ciss
Rick Dekker 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
Reza Ghoochannejhad 🟥
57′
Vito van Crooy 🟨
59′
64′
🟨 Cian Harries
2–0 I. Bel Hassani
P. Clement
65′
66′
🔁 V. Damaşcan
↦ C. Harries
D. Johnsen 🔁
↦ B. van Polen
72′
73′
🔁 R. Karjalainen
↦ B. Sambou
81′
🔁 Álex Carbonell
↦ J. Smeets
89′
V. Damaşcan 2–1
M. Diemers
L. Thy 🔁
↦ V. van Crooij
91′
3–1 L. Thy
D. Johnsen
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
16 M. Zetterer G
2 B. van Polen D
29 D. Lachman D
3 T. Lam D
31 S. van Wermeskerken D
6 M. Saymak F
19 R. Dekker M
22 P. Clement M
38 G. Hamer M
8 R. Ghoochannejhad F
7 V. van Crooij F
Bench (11)
11 I. Bel Hassani
17 D. Johnsen
10 L. Thy
15 S. Kersten
30 D. Huiberts
47 D. Bajselmani
20 T. Bruns
1 X. Mous
40 M. Hauptmeijer
4 Y. Nakayama
9 M. van Duinen

Coach: J. Stegeman

For Sittard

4-4-2
77 A. Koşelev G
2 M. Angha D
16 C. Harries D
15 F. Passlack M
12 C. Essers D
35 G. Cox D
10 M. Diemers F
14 T. Tekie M
6 J. Smeets M
20 A. Ciss M
9 B. Sambou F
Bench (9)
99 V. Damaşcan
7 R. Karjalainen
8 Álex Carbonell
27 R. Koot
24 N. El Ablak
28 A. Jug
5 G. Amiot
22 A. Ugur
29 P. Raitanen

Coach: S. Ultee

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
4,20
B
4,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,40
U2,5
2,87
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Joey Kooij · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.