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Premier League
Referee: Michael Oliver
West Ham
T T U T T
2–3
Full-time
Tottenham
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
This season — Premier League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
4 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Ham 16. · Tottenham 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 12 11 1 0 +18 34
2 Leicester 12 8 2 2 +21 26
3 Chelsea 12 8 2 2 +10 26
4 Man City 12 8 1 3 +22 25
5 Sheffield United 12 4 5 3 +4 17
6 Arsenal 12 4 5 3 -1 17
7 Man United 12 4 4 4 +4 16
8 Wolves 12 3 7 2 +1 16
9 Bournemouth 12 4 4 4 +0 16
10 Burnley 12 4 3 5 -1 15
11 Brighton 12 4 3 5 -2 15
12 Crystal Palace 12 4 3 5 -6 15
13 Newcastle 12 4 3 5 -7 15
14 Tottenham 12 3 5 4 +1 14
15 Everton 12 4 2 6 -5 14
16 West Ham 12 3 4 5 -6 13
17 Aston Villa 12 3 2 7 -3 11
18 Watford 12 1 5 6 -15 8
19 Southampton 12 2 2 8 -18 8
20 Norwich 12 2 1 9 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Ham Tottenham
Issa Diop 🟨
11′
36′
Son Heung-Min 0–1
D. Alli
Ryan Fredericks 🟨
39′
43′
Lucas Moura 0–2
Son Heung-Min
Half-time 0–2
M. Antonio 🔁
↦ Felipe Anderson
46′
49′
H. Kane 0–3
S. Aurier
Pablo Fornals 🔁
↦ A. Yarmolenko
56′
C. Sánchez 🔁
↦ I. Diop
64′
70′
🟨 Ben Davies
1–3 M. Antonio
M. Noble
73′
75′
🔁 D. Rose
↦ B. Davies
79′
🔁 C. Eriksen
↦ D. Alli
82′
🔁 M. Sissoko
↦ Lucas Moura
Robert Snodgrass 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Harry Kane
2–3 A. Ogbonna
R. Snodgrass
96′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

West Ham

4-4-1-1
13 Roberto Jiménez G
21 A. Ogbonna D
3 A. Cresswell D
24 R. Fredericks D
23 I. Diop D
16 M. Noble M
11 R. Snodgrass F
8 Felipe Anderson M
41 D. Rice M
7 A. Yarmolenko M
22 S. Haller F
Bench (7)
30 M. Antonio
18 Pablo Fornals
15 C. Sánchez
27 A. Ajeti
4 F. Balbuena
25 D. Martin
5 P. Zabaleta

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Tottenham

4-2-3-1
22 P. Gazzaniga G
4 T. Alderweireld D
24 S. Aurier D
33 B. Davies D
6 D. Sánchez D
27 Lucas Moura M
20 D. Alli M
15 E. Dier M
8 H. Winks M
7 Son Heung-Min M
10 H. Kane F
Bench (7)
3 D. Rose
23 C. Eriksen
17 M. Sissoko
49 B. Austin
21 J. Foyth
16 K. Walker-Peters
18 G. Lo Celso

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,32
U
4,14
B ✓
1,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,47
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.