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Premiership

Referee: G Aitken

Livingston

S T T S S

1–3

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Premiership · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 32%

30%

33%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

60%

56%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

56%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

61% Possession 39%

15 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Livingston 6. · Kilmarnock 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	11	9	2	0	+23	29
2	Celtic	10	8	1	1	+18	25
3	Hibernian	10	6	2	2	+6	20
4	Aberdeen	8	6	0	2	+4	18
5	Kilmarnock	9	3	2	4	+1	11
6	Livingston	10	3	2	5	-3	11
7	Dundee United	10	3	2	5	-8	11
8	Ross County	10	3	2	5	-9	11
9	Motherwell	9	2	2	5	-6	8
10	Hamilton	9	2	1	6	-8	7
11	St Mirren	10	2	1	7	-9	7
12	ST Johnstone	10	2	1	7	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	5	5	0	0	+14	15
2	Celtic	5	4	0	1	+9	12
3	Aberdeen	5	3	0	2	-1	9
4	Hibernian	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Kilmarnock	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Livingston	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Dundee United	5	1	1	3	-2	4
8	St Mirren	5	1	1	3	-4	4
9	Motherwell	5	1	1	3	-5	4
10	Ross County	5	1	1	3	-8	4
11	ST Johnstone	5	1	0	4	-4	3
12	Hamilton	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	6	4	2	0	+9	14
2	Celtic	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Hibernian	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Aberdeen	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Ross County	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	Dundee United	5	2	1	2	-6	7
7	Hamilton	5	2	0	3	-4	6
8	Motherwell	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Livingston	5	1	1	3	-2	4
10	Kilmarnock	5	1	1	3	-3	4
11	ST Johnstone	5	1	1	3	-5	4
12	St Mirren	5	1	0	4	-5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.