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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Livingston
T S U T T
1–2
Full-time
Aberdeen
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
2,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 37%
34%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
51%
29%
Both score Ø 40%
51%
29%
Average goals
2,6
1,9
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 5. · Aberdeen 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 35 29 6 0 +69 93
2 Celtic 35 21 10 4 +48 73
3 Hibernian 35 17 8 10 +13 59
4 Aberdeen 35 14 11 10 +2 53
5 Livingston 35 12 8 15 -8 44
6 St Mirren 35 11 10 14 -7 43
7 Dundee United 35 10 12 13 -16 42
8 ST Johnstone 35 10 11 14 -7 41
9 Motherwell 35 11 8 16 -17 41
10 Kilmarnock 35 9 5 21 -11 32
11 Ross County 35 8 6 21 -35 30
12 Hamilton 35 6 9 20 -31 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Feb -21 Aberdeen – Livingston 0–2 30. Jan -21 Livingston – Aberdeen 0–0 23. Aug -20 Aberdeen – Livingston 2–1 26. Dec -19 Aberdeen – Livingston 2–1 21. Sep -19 Livingston – Aberdeen 0–2

Match report

Livingston Aberdeen
Craig Sibbald 🟨
34′
34′
🟨 Connor McLennan
Scott Pitman 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–1
52′
⚽ C. Hendry 0–1
Marvin Bartley 🟨
54′
64′
🔁 F. Hornby
↦ C. Hendry
J. Kabia 🔁
↦ C. Sibbald
66′
70′
🔁 R. Hedges
↦ N. McGinn
Jack Fitzwater 🟨
74′
74′
⚽ R. Hedges 0–2
F. Kamberi
J. Mullin 🔁
↦ M. Poplatnik
75′
77′
🟨 Andy Considine
1–2 J. Emmanuel-Thomas ⚽
J. Kabia
80′
88′
🔁 M. Kennedy
↦ F. Hornby
89′
🟨 Jonny Hayes
90′
🟨 Jack Mackenzie
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
32 M. Stryjek G
2 N. Devlin D
23 J. Longridge D
27 J. Guthrie D
5 J. Fitzwater D
6 M. Bartley M
18 J. Holt M
10 C. Sibbald M
9 J. Emmanuel-Thomas M
8 S. Pittman M
15 M. Poplatnik F
Bench (9)
37 J. Kabia
14 J. Mullin
40 G. Maley
21 J. McMillan
4 A. Lithgow
12 J. Serrano
25 E. Ambrose
11 A. Forrest
28 D. Diani

Coach: D. Martindale

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
43 G. Woods G
4 A. Considine D
3 T. Hoban D
29 J. MacKenzie D
17 J. Hayes M
10 N. McGinn M
15 D. McGeouch M
19 L. Ferguson M
22 F. Kamberi M
18 C. McLennan D
9 C. Hendry F
Bench (9)
7 F. Hornby
11 R. Hedges
33 M. Kennedy
27 M. Gallagher
44 C. Ramsay
23 E. Ross
28 M. Ruth
30 T. Ritchie
24 D. Campbell

Coach: S. Glass

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,75
🔒
U
3,13
🔒
B ✓
2,64
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,47
🔒
U2,5
1,53
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.