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Serie A

Referee: G Manganiello

Milan

S S S U T

1–3

Full-time

Sassuolo

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,8

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 54%

77%

31%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

54%

77%

Both score Ø 73%

69%

77%

Average goals

3,4

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 6

7 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 7

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 2. · Sassuolo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	13	10	2	1	+19	32
2	Milan	13	10	2	1	+14	32
3	Inter	14	9	4	1	+19	31
4	Atalanta	14	8	4	2	+11	28
5	Roma	13	7	1	5	+8	22
6	Lazio	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Fiorentina	14	7	0	7	+2	21
8	Juventus	14	6	3	5	+2	21
9	Verona	14	5	4	5	+3	19
10	Empoli	14	6	1	7	-5	19
11	Bologna	13	5	3	5	-5	18
12	Torino	13	5	2	6	+4	17
13	Sassuolo	13	4	3	6	-1	15
14	Udinese	14	3	6	5	-4	15
15	Sampdoria	14	4	3	7	-6	15
16	Venezia	14	4	3	7	-9	15
17	Spezia	13	3	2	8	-16	11
18	Genoa	14	1	7	6	-9	10
19	Cagliari	14	1	5	8	-13	8
20	Salernitana	14	2	2	10	-18	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	7	5	1	1	+10	16
2	Milan	6	5	1	0	+9	16
3	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+9	16
4	Verona	7	5	0	2	+7	15
5	Inter	6	4	2	0	+12	14
6	Torino	7	4	1	2	+7	13
7	Roma	6	4	1	1	+5	13
8	Bologna	7	4	1	2	+4	13
9	Fiorentina	6	4	0	2	+5	12
10	Juventus	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Udinese	8	2	4	2	-1	10
12	Atalanta	7	2	3	2	+2	9
13	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	+0	8
14	Sampdoria	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Spezia	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	Venezia	6	2	1	3	-2	7
17	Empoli	8	2	1	5	-8	7
18	Cagliari	8	1	3	4	-3	6
19	Salernitana	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Genoa	6	0	3	3	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	7	6	1	0	+9	19
2	Inter	8	5	2	1	+7	17
3	Napoli	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	Milan	7	5	1	1	+5	16
5	Empoli	6	4	0	2	+3	12
6	Juventus	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Roma	7	3	0	4	+3	9
8	Fiorentina	8	3	0	5	-3	9
9	Venezia	8	2	2	4	-7	8
10	Sassuolo	6	2	1	3	-1	7
11	Sampdoria	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Genoa	8	1	4	3	-5	7
13	Udinese	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Lazio	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Bologna	6	1	2	3	-9	5
16	Torino	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Verona	7	0	4	3	-4	4
18	Salernitana	7	1	1	5	-9	4
19	Spezia	7	1	1	5	-15	4
20	Cagliari	6	0	2	4	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.