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Ligue 1
Referee: B Dechepy
Lorient
T U T T T
0–2
Full-time
Rennes
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
21%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
43%
29%
Both score Ø 50%
64%
36%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
6 Shots 11
0 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 14. · Rennes 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 15 13 1 1 +20 40
2 Nice 15 8 3 4 +13 27
3 Rennes 14 7 4 3 +12 25
4 Lens 15 7 4 4 +7 25
5 Marseille 13 6 5 2 +8 23
6 Angers 15 5 7 3 +4 22
7 Strasbourg 14 5 4 5 +6 19
8 Monaco 14 5 4 5 +1 19
9 Montpellier 14 5 4 5 +0 19
10 Lyon 13 5 4 4 +0 19
11 Nantes 15 5 4 6 +0 19
12 Lille 15 4 6 5 -3 18
13 Brest 14 3 6 5 -1 15
14 Lorient 14 3 6 5 -8 15
15 Reims 14 2 7 5 -3 13
16 Bordeaux 14 2 7 5 -9 13
17 Troyes 14 3 4 7 -9 13
18 Clermont 14 3 4 7 -11 13
19 Metz 15 2 6 7 -13 12
20 St Etienne 15 2 6 7 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorient Rennes
22′
ℹ️ Benjamin Bourigeaud
VAR: Goal confirmed
32′
🟨 Lovro Majer
Half-time 0–0
T. Moffi 🔁
↦ E. Le Fée
64′
Q. Boisgard 🔁
↦ A. Laurienté
64′
D. Faissal Ouattara 🔁
↦ A. Grbić
64′
68′
🔁 B. Santamaría
↦ L. Majer
69′
🔁 J. Doku
↦ K. Sulemana
73′
🔁 S. Guirassy
↦ B. Bourigeaud
75′
G. Laborde 0–1
78′
J. Doku 0–2
N. Aguerd
S. Soumano 🔁
↦ H. Mendes
82′
T. Le Bris 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
82′
83′
🟨 Jeremy Doku
85′
🔁 L. Assignon
↦ H. Traoré
85′
🔁 B. Meling
↦ M. Terrier
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lorient

3-5-2
30 P. Nardi G
15 J. Laporte D
2 Igor Silva M
19 L. Pétrot D
17 H. Mendes D
20 S. Loric M
23 T. Monconduit M
6 L. Abergel M
10 E. Le Fée M
27 A. Grbić F
28 A. Laurienté F
Bench (9)
13 T. Moffi
11 Q. Boisgard
38 D. Faissal Ouattara
33 S. Soumano
37 T. Le Bris
4 L. Mouyokolo
31 R. Bourlès
1 M. Dreyer
5 T. Fontaine

Coach: C. Pélissier

Rennes

4-4-2
16 A. Gomis G
27 H. Traoré D
6 N. Aguerd D
4 L. Badé D
3 A. Truffert D
28 J. Martin M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
21 L. Majer M
10 K. Sulemana M
24 G. Laborde F
7 M. Terrier F
Bench (9)
8 B. Santamaría
11 J. Doku
9 S. Guirassy
22 L. Assignon
25 B. Meling
26 L. Ugochukwu
23 W. Omari
1 R. Salin
20 F. Tait

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,48
U
3,89
B ✓
1,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Dechepy · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.