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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Heerenveen
T T T U S
1–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,3
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 60%
42%
77%
Points per game
1,4
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
50%
85%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
62%
Average goals
2,7
4,1
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
3 Free kicks against 3
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 11. · PSV Eindhoven 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 14 10 3 1 +41 33
2 PSV Eindhoven 13 10 0 3 +13 30
3 Feyenoord 13 9 2 2 +18 29
4 Utrecht 13 8 2 3 +14 26
5 Cambuur 14 8 0 6 -3 24
6 Twente 14 6 4 4 +2 22
7 Go Ahead Eagles 14 6 2 6 -5 20
8 Nijmegen 14 5 4 5 -3 19
9 Vitesse 12 6 1 5 -8 19
10 Willem II 14 5 3 6 -7 18
11 Heerenveen 12 5 2 5 -2 17
12 Groningen 14 4 5 5 -4 17
13 Heracles 13 4 2 7 -4 14
14 AZ Alkmaar 11 4 1 6 +2 13
15 Waalwijk 14 2 6 6 -8 12
16 Sparta Rotterdam 14 2 4 8 -10 10
17 For Sittard 13 2 3 8 -17 9
18 Zwolle 14 1 2 11 -19 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen PSV Eindhoven
13′
Carlos Vinícius 0–1
Bruma
Half-time 0–1
R. Al Hajj 🔁
↦ R. Kongolo
46′
Rami Kaib 🟨
62′
67′
🟨 Érick Gutiérrez
I. Dresevic 🔁
↦ N. Madsen
68′
68′
🔁 Y. Vertessen
↦ Carlos Vinícius
68′
🔁 M. van Ginkel
↦ R. Dōan
1–1 R. Al Hajj
73′
74′
🔁 A. Obispo
↦ Mauro Júnior
B. Nygren 🔁
↦ F. Stevanović
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-1-4-1
22 X. Mous G
15 N. Bakker D
4 S. van Beek D
13 R. Kaib D
27 M. van Ewijk D
10 T. Halilović M
21 R. Kongolo M
20 J. Veerman M
29 N. Madsen M
9 H. Veerman F
7 F. Stevanović M
Bench (9)
17 R. Al Hajj
14 I. Dresevic
8 B. Nygren
24 J. Kroesen
18 H. Akujobi
23 J. Bekkema
5 L. Woudenberg
2 S. van Ottele
19 J. Ras

Coach: J. Jansen

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
16 J. Drommel G
29 P. Mwene D
5 André Ramalho D
18 O. Boscagli D
27 M. Götze M
15 É. Gutiérrez M
17 Mauro Júnior D
6 I. Sangaré M
19 Bruma M
25 R. Dōan M
9 Carlos Vinícius F
Bench (7)
32 Y. Vertessen
8 M. van Ginkel
4 A. Obispo
21 M. Delanghe
46 I. Saibari
14 D. Pröpper
38 Y. Mvogo

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,65
U ✓
4,45
B
1,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,53
U2,5 ✓
2,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.