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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Aberdeen
S S T S T
1–0
Full-time
Dundee United
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 35%
50%
20%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
71%
60%
Both score Ø 56%
64%
47%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 4. · Dundee United 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 15 14 0 1 +37 42
2 Rangers 15 10 3 2 +20 33
3 Livingston 15 7 2 6 -5 23
4 Aberdeen 14 7 1 6 +5 22
5 Hearts 15 6 3 6 -1 21
6 ST Johnstone 16 6 3 7 -2 21
7 St Mirren 15 6 3 6 -6 21
8 Hibernian 16 6 2 8 -5 20
9 Motherwell 16 5 2 9 -2 17
10 Ross County 16 4 3 9 -13 15
11 Kilmarnock 16 4 3 9 -15 15
12 Dundee United 15 3 3 9 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Oct -22 Dundee United – Aberdeen 4–0 26. Feb -22 Aberdeen – Dundee United 1–1 20. Nov -21 Dundee United – Aberdeen 1–0 1. Aug -21 Aberdeen – Dundee United 2–0 20. Mar -21 Dundee United – Aberdeen 1–0

Match report

Aberdeen Dundee United
1–0 B. Miovski ⚽
37′
Half-time 1–0
Ylber Ramadani 🟨
52′
67′
🔁 S. Anaku
↦ G. Middleton
67′
🔁 I. Harkes
↦ C. Sibbald
J. MacKenzie 🔁
↦ H. Coulson
78′
M. Watkins 🔁
↦ B. Miovski
79′
84′
🔁 P. Pawlett
↦ J. McGrath
R. Duncan 🔁
↦ Duk
88′
V. Besuijen 🔁
↦ L. Clarkson
88′
91′
🔁 A. Meekison
↦ D. Levitt
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-5-2
24 K. Roos G
2 R. McCrorie D
5 A. Stewart D
4 L. Scales D
33 M. Kennedy M
8 C. Barron M
16 Y. Ramadani M
20 L. Clarkson M
22 H. Coulson M
9 B. Miovski F
11 Duk F
Bench (9)
3 J. MacKenzie
15 M. Watkins
23 R. Duncan
10 V. Besuijen
28 J. Milne
7 S. Morris
1 J. Lewis
99 C. Ramírez
25 J. Richardson

Coach: B. Robson

Dundee United

3-4-2-1
1 M. Birighitti G
2 L. Smith D
12 R. Edwards D
6 R. Graham D
22 K. Freeman M
14 C. Sibbald M
19 D. Levitt M
16 A. Behich M
18 J. McGrath F
15 G. Middleton F
9 S. Fletcher F
Bench (9)
20 S. Anaku
23 I. Harkes
8 P. Pawlett
17 A. Meekison
13 C. Eriksson
10 A. Djoum
7 I. Niskanen
32 T. Watt
3 S. McMann

Coach: L. Fox

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
🔒
U
3,70
🔒
B
4,63
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,97
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,81
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.