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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
Hibernian
S T T S U
6–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 39%
36%
41%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
59%
64%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 9
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hibernian 6. · Aberdeen 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 22 20 1 1 +52 61
2 Rangers 22 16 4 2 +29 52
3 Hearts 22 11 5 6 +11 38
4 Livingston 21 9 4 8 -6 31
5 Aberdeen 22 9 2 11 -2 29
6 Hibernian 22 8 3 11 -8 27
7 St Mirren 21 7 6 8 -9 27
8 ST Johnstone 22 7 3 12 -10 24
9 Motherwell 21 5 5 11 -6 20
10 Dundee United 21 5 5 11 -12 20
11 Kilmarnock 22 5 5 12 -19 20
12 Ross County 22 4 5 13 -20 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Aberdeen
1–0 J. Campbell
10′
2–0 J. Campbell
J. Newell
15′
28′
🟨 Jonny Hayes
44′
🟨 Graeme Shinnie
3–0 É. Youan
J. Newell
45′
Half-time 3–0
60′
🔁 C. Roberts
↦ M. Kennedy
60′
🔁 H. Coulson
↦ L. Clarkson
61′
🟨 Liam Scales
Josh Campbell 🟨
64′
K. Nisbet 🔁
↦ A. McGeady
68′
L. Miller 🔁
↦ H. McKirdy
73′
4–0 K. Nisbet
J. Campbell
73′
J. O'Connor 🔁
↦ J. Newell
77′
O. MacIntyre 🔁
↦ C. Cadden
77′
78′
🟨 Duk
Kevin Nisbet 🟨
80′
83′
🔁 P. Myslovič
↦ J. Hayes
83′
🔁 C. Barron
↦ G. Shinnie
83′
🔁 R. Duncan
↦ B. Miovski
86′
🟨 Liam Scales
86′
🟥 Liam Scales
5–0 J. Campbell
88′
6–0 W. Fish
J. Campbell
91′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-1-4-1
1 D. Marshall G
12 C. Cadden D
25 W. Fish D
4 P. Hanlon D
16 L. Stevenson D
14 J. Jeggo M
22 H. McKirdy M
11 J. Newell M
32 J. Campbell M
46 A. McGeady M
23 É. Youan F
Bench (9)
15 K. Nisbet
2 L. Miller
39 J. O'Connor
37 O. MacIntyre
3 M. Čabraja
45 E. Laidlaw
31 M. Johnson
10 Jair Tavares
18 E. Henderson

Coach: L. Johnson

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
2 R. McCrorie D
5 A. Stewart D
4 L. Scales D
17 J. Hayes D
16 Y. Ramadani M
6 G. Shinnie M
33 M. Kennedy M
20 L. Clarkson M
11 Duk M
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
37 C. Roberts
22 H. Coulson
14 P. Myslovič
8 C. Barron
23 R. Duncan
15 M. Watkins
30 T. Ritchie
21 D. Polvara
46 F. Marshall

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,27
U
3,49
B
2,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.