La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cadiz
Mallorca
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | +30 | -0.4 | 44 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | +22 | -0.1 | 41 |
| 3 |
Sociedad
|
18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | +10 | +0.8 | 38 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +11 | +2.9 | 31 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +8 | +2.3 | 31 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | +5 | -1.4 | 28 |
| 7 |
Osasuna
|
18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +1 | -0.8 | 28 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +6 | +0.1 | 26 |
| 9 |
Vallecano
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | -0.8 | 26 |
| 10 |
Mallorca
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -1 | +0.0 | 25 |
| 11 |
Almeria
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -6 | +0.9 | 22 |
| 12 |
Girona
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -2 | -2.3 | 21 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | +5 | +0.4 | 20 |
| 14 |
Espanol
|
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | -6 | +0.1 | 20 |
| 15 |
Sevilla
|
18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -8 | +1.6 | 18 |
| 16 |
Getafe
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -9 | +0.4 | 17 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -12 | -0.0 | 17 |
| 18 |
Valladolid
|
18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -15 | -2.9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Cadiz
|
18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -17 | -1.6 | 16 |
| 20 |
Elche
|
18 | 0 | 6 | 12 | -24 | +0.8 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Rubén Alcaraz
M
Coach: Sergio
Pablo Maffeo
D
M. Valjent
D
Raíllo
D
Dani Rodríguez
M
Ruíz de Galarreta
M
Lee Kang-In
M
V. Muriqi
F
Coach: J. Aguirre
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sevilla
Cadiz
Cadiz
Elche
Valencia
Cadiz
Cadiz
Almeria
Real Unión
Cadiz
Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.