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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Cadiz
T U S U T
2–0
Full-time
Mallorca
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
17%
39%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
39%
17%
Both score Ø 36%
39%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,93 xG 0,41
42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 19. · Mallorca 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 17 14 2 1 +30 -0.4 44
2 Real Madrid 17 13 2 2 +22 -0.1 41
3 Sociedad 18 12 2 4 +10 +0.8 38
4 Ath Madrid 18 9 4 5 +11 +2.9 31
5 Villarreal 18 9 4 5 +8 +2.3 31
6 Betis 17 8 4 5 +5 -1.4 28
7 Osasuna 18 8 4 6 +1 -0.8 28
8 Ath Bilbao 18 7 5 6 +6 +0.1 26
9 Vallecano 18 7 5 6 +2 -0.8 26
10 Mallorca 18 7 4 7 -1 +0.0 25
11 Almeria 19 6 4 9 -6 +0.9 22
12 Girona 18 5 6 7 -2 -2.3 21
13 Valencia 17 5 5 7 +5 +0.4 20
14 Espanol 19 4 8 7 -6 +0.1 20
15 Sevilla 18 4 6 8 -8 +1.6 18
16 Getafe 18 4 5 9 -9 +0.4 17
17 Celta 18 4 5 9 -12 -0.0 17
18 Valladolid 18 5 2 11 -15 -2.9 17
19 Cadiz 18 3 7 8 -17 -1.6 16
20 Elche 18 0 6 12 -24 +0.8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Mallorca
1–0 T. Bongonda
Álvaro Negredo
10′
Rubén Alcaraz ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
35′
2–0 Álex Fernández
38′
44′
🟨 José Copete
Half-time 2–0
G. Escalante 🔁
↦ A. Lozano
46′
46′
🔁 T. Kadewere
↦ Copete
Rubén Alcaraz 🟨
50′
59′
🔁 A. Ndiaye
↦ C. Grenier
65′
🔁 G. González
↦ Pablo Maffeo
Fali 🔁
↦ Rubén Alcaraz
69′
74′
🔁 Ángel
↦ Lee Kang-In
74′
🔁 Antonio Sánchez
↦ Dani Rodríguez
Isaac Carcelén 🟨
77′
S. Arzamendia 🔁
↦ B. Ocampo
78′
Roger 🔁
↦ Álvaro Negredo
78′
Raúl Parra 🔁
↦ T. Bongonda
83′
93′
🟨 Amath Ndiaye
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
20 Iza Carcelén D
23 Luis Hernández D
5 M. Mbaye D
22 A. Espino D
10 T. Bongonda M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
8 Álex Fernández M
14 B. Ocampo M
9 A. Lozano F
18 Álvaro Negredo F
Bench (10)
17 G. Escalante
3 Fali
21 S. Arzamendia
15 Roger
2 Raúl Parra
19 Álvaro Giménez
30 Carlos García-Die
29 M. Diarra
26 Victor Aznar
12 Y. Diarra

Coach: Sergio

Mallorca

5-4-1
1 P. Rajković G
15 Pablo Maffeo D
24 M. Valjent D
21 Raíllo D
6 Copete D
18 Jaume Costa D
14 Dani Rodríguez M
4 Ruíz de Galarreta M
8 C. Grenier M
19 Lee Kang-In M
7 V. Muriqi F
Bench (12)
17 T. Kadewere
23 A. Ndiaye
20 G. González
22 Ángel
10 Antonio Sánchez
9 Abdón Prats
2 M. Nastasić
12 I. Baba
13 D. Greif
5 D. Hadžikadunić
16 R. Battaglia
31 Leo Román

Coach: J. Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,89
U
2,80
B
2,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
3,08
U2,5 ✓
1,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.