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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
Ross County
T T U T U
3–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 21%
18%
23%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
41%
50%
Both score Ø 43%
41%
45%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
0,7
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 12. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 22 20 1 1 +52 61
2 Rangers 22 16 4 2 +29 52
3 Hearts 22 11 5 6 +11 38
4 Livingston 21 9 4 8 -6 31
5 Aberdeen 22 9 2 11 -2 29
6 Hibernian 22 8 3 11 -8 27
7 St Mirren 21 7 6 8 -9 27
8 ST Johnstone 22 7 3 12 -10 24
9 Motherwell 21 5 5 11 -6 20
10 Dundee United 21 5 5 11 -12 20
11 Kilmarnock 22 5 5 12 -19 20
12 Ross County 22 4 5 13 -20 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Oct -22 Kilmarnock – Ross County 1–0 20. Aug -22 Ross County – Kilmarnock 1–0 10. Apr -21 Kilmarnock – Ross County 2–2 6. Mar -21 Ross County – Kilmarnock 3–2 21. Nov -20 Kilmarnock – Ross County 3–1

Match report

Ross County Kilmarnock
1–0 E. Brophy ⚽
N. Kenneh
13′
Ross Callachan 🟨
38′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 J. White ⚽
R. Callachan
48′
60′
🔁 L. Donnelly
↦ A. Power
60′
🔁 C. Doidge
↦ S. Robinson
3–0 Y. Dhanda ⚽
N. Kenneh
63′
A. Samuel 🔁
↦ E. Brophy
65′
J. Tillson 🔁
↦ Y. Dhanda
65′
D. Cancola 🔁
↦ R. Callachan
76′
76′
🔁 R. Alebiosu
↦ C. Waters
76′
🔁 K. Lafferty
↦ L. Polworth
78′
🟨 Kyle Vassell
V. Loturi 🔁
↦ N. Kenneh
83′
J. Stones 🔁
↦ J. White
83′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Ross County

3-4-1-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
15 K. Watson D
5 J. Baldwin D
6 A. Iacovitti D
2 C. Randall M
8 R. Callachan M
42 N. Kenneh M
16 G. Harmon M
10 Y. Dhanda F
27 E. Brophy F
26 J. White F
Bench (9)
25 A. Samuel
22 J. Tillson
4 D. Cancola
14 V. Loturi
49 J. Stones
30 D. Smith
11 J. Sims
19 J. Hiwula-Mayifuila
21 R. Munro

Coach: M. Mackay

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
1 Z. Hemming G
2 L. Mayo D
5 A. Taylor D
19 J. Wright D
18 C. Waters D
10 Jordan Jones M
31 L. Polworth M
4 A. Power M
7 R. McKenzie M
16 S. Robinson F
23 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
22 L. Donnelly
26 C. Doidge
25 R. Alebiosu
28 K. Lafferty
20 S. Walker
14 J. Sanders
8 B. Alston
17 B. Lyons
21 K. McInroy

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,76
🔒
U
3,15
🔒
B
2,62
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,26
🔒
U2,5
1,62
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.