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Bundesliga
Referee: D Siebert
Werder Bremen
S T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,2
3,8
Scored
1,2
3,7
Conceded
3,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+3,5
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 41%
35%
47%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
59%
Both score Ø 56%
71%
41%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,6
2,1
Conceded
2,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,22 xG 0,72
43% Possession 57%
14 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 11. · Wolfsburg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 17 10 6 1 +36 +0.6 36
2 RB Leipzig 18 10 5 3 +15 +1.4 35
3 Union Berlin 17 10 3 4 +7 +2.4 33
4 Ein Frankfurt 17 9 4 4 +11 -2.5 31
5 Dortmund 17 10 1 6 +6 +1.6 31
6 Freiburg 17 9 4 4 +2 -0.2 31
7 Wolfsburg 17 8 5 4 +15 +4.9 29
8 Leverkusen 17 7 3 7 +2 +1.8 24
9 M'gladbach 17 6 4 7 +2 -1.6 22
10 FC Koln 17 5 6 6 -2 +2.3 21
11 Werder Bremen 17 6 3 8 -9 -3.4 21
12 Mainz 17 5 5 7 -6 -0.8 20
13 Hoffenheim 17 5 4 8 -2 -0.7 19
14 Augsburg 17 5 3 9 -8 -0.7 18
15 Stuttgart 18 3 7 8 -10 -0.1 16
16 Bochum 17 5 1 11 -22 -0.2 16
17 Hertha 17 3 5 9 -10 -3.5 14
18 Schalke 04 17 2 3 12 -27 -1.3 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Wolfsburg
Jens Stage ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
22′
1–0 N. Füllkrug
24′
Niklas Stark 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Guilavogui
↦ Y. Gerhardt
46′
🔁 Omar Marmoush
↦ J. Kamiński
I. Gruev 🔁
↦ N. Schmidt
62′
67′
🟨 Ridle Baku
70′
🔁 M. Lacroix
↦ Paulo Otávio
E. Dinkçi 🔁
↦ M. Ducksch
71′
L. Buchanan 🔁
↦ A. Jung
71′
2–0 N. Füllkrug
M. Weiser
77′
M. Veljković 🔁
↦ J. Stage
80′
82′
🔁 K. Paredes
↦ P. Wimmer
82′
🔁 L. Waldschmidt
↦ J. Wind
90′
K. Paredes 2–1
Marco Friedl 🟨
92′
Mitchell Weiser 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 Micky van de Ven
96′
🟨 Kevin Paredes
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

3-1-4-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
5 A. Pieper D
4 N. Stark D
32 M. Friedl D
36 C. Groß M
8 M. Weiser M
6 J. Stage M
22 N. Schmidt M
3 A. Jung M
11 N. Füllkrug F
7 M. Ducksch F
Bench (9)
28 I. Gruev
21 E. Dinkçi
26 L. Buchanan
13 M. Veljković
9 O. Burke
39 F. Chiarodia
30 M. Zetterer
34 J. Mbom
19 D. Salifou

Coach: O. Werner

Wolfsburg

4-5-1
1 K. Casteels G
20 R. Baku D
3 S. Bornauw D
5 M. van de Ven D
6 Paulo Otávio D
39 P. Wimmer M
32 M. Svanberg M
27 M. Arnold M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
16 J. Kamiński M
23 J. Wind F
Bench (9)
29 J. Guilavogui
33 Omar Marmoush
4 M. Lacroix
40 K. Paredes
7 L. Waldschmidt
38 B. Franjić
2 K. Fischer
17 M. Philipp
12 P. Pervan

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,26
U
3,65
B
2,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.