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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Stefanski
Widzew Lodz
S S T T S
3–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 50%
53%
47%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
53%
71%
Both score Ø 59%
35%
82%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Widzew Lodz 3. · Pogon Szczecin 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 18 13 3 2 +23 42
2 Legia 17 9 5 3 +5 32
3 Widzew Lodz 17 9 2 6 +5 29
4 Lech Poznan 17 8 5 4 +5 29
5 Pogon Szczecin 17 8 5 4 +4 29
6 Wisla Plock 17 8 4 5 +5 28
7 Stal Mielec 18 8 4 6 +3 28
8 Warta Poznan 18 7 5 6 +2 26
9 Cracovia 17 7 4 6 +6 25
10 Radomiak Radom 18 7 3 8 -2 24
11 Slask Wroclaw 17 5 6 6 -5 21
12 Gornik Zabrze 17 5 5 7 -2 20
13 Jagiellonia 17 4 6 7 -1 18
14 Lechia Gdansk 17 5 2 10 -12 17
15 Zaglebie 17 4 5 8 -14 17
16 Piast Gliwice 17 4 4 9 -4 16
17 Legnica 17 3 4 10 -9 13
18 Korona Kielce 17 3 4 10 -9 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Widzew Lodz Pogon Szczecin
20′
K. Grosicki 0–1
M. Wędrychowski
Half-time 0–1
P. Zieliński 🔁
↦ M. Miloš
46′
Fábio Nunes ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
51′
59′
🔁 L. Zahovič
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
67′
🔁 S. Kowalczyk
↦ M. Wędrychowski
1–1 B. Pawłowski
E. Terpiłowski
67′
Fábio Nunes 🟨
73′
74′
S. Kowalczyk 1–2
P. Almqvist
D. Kun 🔁
↦ J. Letniowski
79′
2–2 E. Terpiłowski
B. Pawłowski
79′
82′
🔁 M. Fornalczyk
↦ K. Grosicki
82′
🔁 A. Gorgon
↦ P. Almqvist
M. Kreuzriegler 🔁
↦ M. Żyro
83′
86′
L. Zahovič 2–3
A. Gorgon
Ł. Zjawiński 🔁
↦ E. Terpiłowski
87′
A. Cigaņiks 🔁
↦ Fábio Nunes
87′
97′
🟨 Benedikt Zech
Jordi Sánchez ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
98′
3–3 M. Kreuzriegler
99′
100′
🟥 Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Widzew Lodz

3-4-3
26 H. Ravas G
95 P. Stępiński D
5 S. Szota D
4 M. Żyro D
7 M. Miloš M
25 M. Hanousek M
10 J. Letniowski M
92 Fábio Nunes M
13 E. Terpiłowski F
9 Jordi Sánchez F
19 B. Pawłowski F
Bench (9)
23 P. Zieliński
22 D. Kun
33 M. Kreuzriegler
29 Ł. Zjawiński
14 A. Cigaņiks
6 J. Shehu
21 J. Sypek
3 B. Czorbadżijski
44 J. Wrąbel

Coach: J. Niedźwiedź

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-3-1
1 D. Stipica G
41 P. Stolarski D
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos D
23 B. Zech D
32 L. Koutris D
8 D. Dąbrowski M
7 R. Kurzawa M
15 M. Wędrychowski M
22 V. Bichakhchyan M
11 K. Grosicki M
9 P. Almqvist F
Bench (9)
10 L. Zahovič
27 S. Kowalczyk
17 M. Fornalczyk
20 A. Gorgon
33 M. Malec
4 Léo Borges
74 D. Rezaeian
81 B. Klebaniuk
73 A. Przyborek

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Stefanski · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.