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Ligue 2

Referee: A Petit

Valenciennes

U T T U T

1–1

Full-time

Metz

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 40%

32%

47%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

26%

42%

Both score Ø 40%

42%

37%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

7 Shots 20

1 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valenciennes 11. · Metz 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	19	12	6	1	+22	42
2	Sochaux	20	10	3	7	+11	33
3	Bordeaux	19	9	6	4	+11	33
4	Metz	19	9	4	6	+9	31
5	Grenoble	19	8	6	5	+3	30
6	Amiens	19	8	5	6	+2	29
7	Caen	19	7	7	5	+3	28
8	Bastia	19	8	4	7	-3	28
9	Paris FC	19	7	6	6	-2	27
10	Quevilly Rouen	19	6	7	6	-1	25
11	Valenciennes	19	6	7	6	-1	25
12	Annecy	19	6	6	7	+1	24
13	Guingamp	19	6	6	7	-3	24
14	Laval	19	7	2	10	-6	23
15	Pau FC	19	5	7	7	-6	22
16	Dijon	19	5	6	8	-1	21
17	St Etienne	20	5	6	9	-6	21
18	Rodez	19	4	7	8	-8	19
19	Niort	19	4	5	10	-14	17
20	Nimes	19	4	4	11	-11	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	10	7	3	0	+12	24
2	Bordeaux	10	6	3	1	+9	21
3	Sochaux	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Bastia	10	6	1	3	+3	19
5	Caen	9	5	3	1	+8	18
6	Metz	10	5	3	2	+5	18
7	Amiens	9	5	2	2	+5	17
8	Valenciennes	9	4	5	0	+4	17
9	Grenoble	9	5	2	2	+3	17
10	Dijon	10	4	4	2	+4	16
11	Annecy	10	4	2	4	-1	14
12	Quevilly Rouen	9	3	4	2	+2	13
13	Laval	10	4	1	5	+0	13
14	Pau FC	9	3	4	2	-1	13
15	Nimes	9	4	1	4	-1	13
16	St Etienne	10	3	3	4	-3	12
17	Niort	10	3	2	5	-6	11
18	Guingamp	10	2	3	5	-5	9
19	Paris FC	9	2	3	4	-5	9
20	Rodez	9	1	4	4	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	9	5	3	1	+10	18
2	Paris FC	10	5	3	2	+3	18
3	Guingamp	9	4	3	2	+2	15
4	Metz	9	4	1	4	+4	13
5	Sochaux	10	4	1	5	+2	13
6	Grenoble	10	3	4	3	+0	13
7	Bordeaux	9	3	3	3	+2	12
8	Rodez	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Amiens	10	3	3	4	-3	12
10	Quevilly Rouen	10	3	3	4	-3	12
11	Annecy	9	2	4	3	+2	10
12	Caen	10	2	4	4	-5	10
13	Laval	9	3	1	5	-6	10
14	St Etienne	10	2	3	5	-3	9
15	Pau FC	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Bastia	9	2	3	4	-6	9
17	Valenciennes	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	Niort	9	1	3	5	-8	6
19	Dijon	9	1	2	6	-5	5
20	Nimes	10	0	3	7	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.