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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Charleroi
T S S U U
0–1
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,8
This season — Pro League · 22/19 matches
Win Ø 60%
41%
79%
Points per game
1,4
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
68%
Both score Ø 66%
64%
68%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,1
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
5 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 11. · St. Gilloise 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 18 16 1 1 +33 49
2 St. Gilloise 19 15 3 1 +23 48
3 Antwerp 19 14 2 3 +22 44
4 Gent 19 11 3 5 +17 36
5 Club Brugge 19 10 5 4 +15 35
6 St Truiden 24 9 8 7 +0 35
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 24 9 7 8 +8 34
8 Anderlecht 23 10 3 10 +7 33
9 Cercle Brugge 19 8 6 5 +4 30
10 Standard 20 9 3 8 +1 30
11 Charleroi 22 9 3 10 -5 30
12 Kortrijk 25 8 4 13 -16 28
13 Westerlo 20 7 5 8 +1 26
14 Mechelen 23 7 4 12 -11 25
15 Waregem 23 6 5 12 -15 23
16 Eupen 24 7 2 15 -19 23
17 Oostende 25 5 4 16 -27 19
18 Seraing 22 4 3 15 -19 15
19 Seraing United 22 4 3 15 -19 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi St. Gilloise
Mehdi Boukamir 🟨
16′
Ken Nkuba 🟨
23′
24′
G. Nilsson 0–1
S. Lynen
31′
🟨 Teddy Teuma
Half-time 0–1
J. Tchatchoua 🔁
↦ K. Nkuba
46′
A. Hosseinzadeh 🔁
↦ D. Heymans
46′
Marco Ilaimaharitra 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 Gustaf Nilsson
R. Morioka 🔁
↦ M. Boukamir
72′
81′
🟨 Christian Burgess
A. Descotte 🔁
↦ Y. Badji
84′
84′
🔁 O. El Azzouzi
↦ G. Nilsson
J. Van Cleemput 🔁
↦ D. Marcq
88′
89′
🔁 Cameron Puertas
↦ L. Amani
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

3-5-2
16 H. Koffi G
2 J. Bager D
25 D. Marcq D
32 M. Boukamir D
28 K. Nkuba M
18 D. Heymans M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
6 A. Zorgane M
12 J. Kayembe M
7 I. Mbenza F
10 Y. Badji F
Bench (7)
38 J. Tchatchoua
99 A. Hosseinzadeh
44 R. Morioka
15 A. Descotte
4 J. Van Cleemput
1 P. Patron
3 S. Knežević

Coach: F. Mazzù

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
8 L. Amani M
20 S. Lynen M
10 T. Teuma M
94 L. Lapoussin M
7 V. Boniface F
29 G. Nilsson F
Bench (7)
6 O. El Azzouzi
23 Cameron Puertas
26 R. Sykes
21 L. Pirard
17 C. Terho
11 S. Adingra
19 G. François

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,47
U
3,53
B ✓
2,04
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.