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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Westerlo
U T T U S
1–3
Full-time
Gent
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 47%
35%
59%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 56%
65%
47%
Average goals
3,5
2,9
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Westerlo 11. · Gent 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 34 25 5 4 +33 80
2 Antwerp 34 25 4 5 +39 79
3 Genk 34 23 7 4 +45 76
4 Gent 34 20 6 8 +40 66
5 Club Brugge 34 18 7 9 +28 61
6 Cercle Brugge 34 14 12 8 +8 54
7 Charleroi 35 16 6 13 +2 54
8 Anderlecht 35 15 7 13 +11 52
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 14 9 13 +12 51
10 St Truiden 36 13 9 14 -1 48
11 Westerlo 34 12 11 11 +5 47
12 Standard 33 13 7 13 +0 46
13 Mechelen 35 11 7 17 -18 40
14 Kortrijk 36 10 7 19 -22 37
15 Waregem 36 7 10 19 -26 31
16 Eupen 36 8 7 21 -36 31
17 Oostende 36 7 7 22 -40 28
18 Seraing 34 5 5 24 -40 20
19 Seraing United 34 5 5 24 -40 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Westerlo Gent
22′
🟨 Matisse Samoise
1–0 N. Chadli
M. De Cuyper
23′
27′
A. Hjulsager 1–1
Half-time 1–1
M. Fixelles 🔁
↦ N. Chadli
50′
60′
🔁 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
↦ A. Hjulsager
72′
🔁 T. Tissoudali
↦ G. Orban
73′
🔁 B. Lagae
↦ K. Piątkowski
75′
H. Cuypers 1–2
81′
T. Tissoudali 1–3
H. Cuypers
E. Jordanov 🔁
↦ M. De Cuyper
82′
R. Seigers 🔁
↦ L. Van Eenoo
83′
84′
🔁 J. Hauge
↦ Hong Hyun-Seok
85′
🔁 S. Marreh
↦ S. Kums
G. Yow 🔁
↦ N. Dorgeles
88′
M. Gümüşkaya 🔁
↦ Y. Matsuo
88′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Westerlo

4-4-2
20 N. Gillekens G
22 B. Reynolds D
33 R. Neustädter D
2 P. Perdichizzi D
11 M. De Cuyper D
39 T. Van den Keybus M
8 N. Madsen M
7 L. Van Eenoo M
5 N. Chadli M
79 Y. Matsuo F
45 N. Dorgeles F
Bench (7)
4 M. Fixelles
32 E. Jordanov
23 R. Seigers
3 G. Yow
17 M. Gümüşkaya
30 K. Van Langendonck
81 I. El Hari

Coach: J. De Roeck

Gent

3-4-3
1 P. Nardi G
4 K. Piątkowski D
23 J. Torunarigha D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
18 M. Samoise M
24 S. Kums M
13 J. De Sart M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok M
17 A. Hjulsager F
20 G. Orban F
11 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
34 T. Tissoudali
15 B. Lagae
10 J. Hauge
22 S. Marreh
33 D. Roef
31 B. Godeau

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,89
U
3,34
B ✓
2,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,80
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.