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Premiership

Referee: G Irvine

Aberdeen

T U S T T

1–3

Full-time

St Mirren

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen St Mirren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

2,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,7

This season — Premiership · 23/22 matches

Win Ø 38%

39%

36%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

65%

50%

Both score Ø 47%

52%

41%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

28% Possession 72%

6 Shots 22

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 11

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 11

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aberdeen 7. · St Mirren 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	23	21	1	1	+54	64
2	Rangers	23	17	4	2	+31	55
3	Hearts	23	11	6	6	+11	39
4	Livingston	22	9	5	8	-6	32
5	Hibernian	24	9	4	11	-2	31
6	St Mirren	22	8	6	8	-8	30
7	Aberdeen	23	9	2	12	-8	29
8	ST Johnstone	23	7	3	13	-12	24
9	Ross County	24	5	6	13	-17	21
10	Motherwell	22	5	5	12	-7	20
11	Dundee United	22	5	5	12	-14	20
12	Kilmarnock	23	5	5	13	-22	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	11	11	0	0	+27	33
2	Rangers	12	10	2	0	+25	32
3	Hearts	11	8	1	2	+12	25
4	St Mirren	12	7	4	1	+8	25
5	Aberdeen	11	7	1	3	+16	22
6	Hibernian	12	6	3	3	+10	21
7	Livingston	11	5	3	3	+0	18
8	Kilmarnock	11	5	3	3	-2	18
9	Dundee United	12	4	1	7	-7	13
10	Ross County	13	3	3	7	-9	12
11	ST Johnstone	11	3	2	6	-2	11
12	Motherwell	10	1	3	6	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	12	10	1	1	+27	31
2	Rangers	11	7	2	2	+6	23
3	Motherwell	12	4	2	6	+0	14
4	Hearts	12	3	5	4	-1	14
5	Livingston	11	4	2	5	-6	14
6	ST Johnstone	12	4	1	7	-10	13
7	Hibernian	12	3	1	8	-12	10
8	Ross County	11	2	3	6	-8	9
9	Dundee United	10	1	4	5	-7	7
10	Aberdeen	12	2	1	9	-24	7
11	St Mirren	10	1	2	7	-16	5
12	Kilmarnock	12	0	2	10	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.