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Premiership

Referee: D Dickinson

Aberdeen

S S U S S

4–1

Full-time

Dundee

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Dundee

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — Premiership · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 59%

90%

27%

Points per game

2,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

70%

73%

Both score Ø 72%

70%

73%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

18 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aberdeen 2. · Dundee 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	10	9	1	0	+26	28
2	Aberdeen	10	9	1	0	+11	28
3	Rangers	10	6	1	3	+7	19
4	Dundee United	12	5	4	3	+5	19
5	Motherwell	11	6	1	4	+1	19
6	St Mirren	13	4	3	6	-5	15
7	Dundee	11	3	3	5	-3	12
8	Kilmarnock	11	3	3	5	-8	12
9	Ross County	13	2	6	5	-11	12
10	ST Johnstone	13	3	1	9	-11	10
11	Hearts	12	2	3	7	-5	9
12	Hibernian	12	1	5	6	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aberdeen	6	6	0	0	+8	18
2	Rangers	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Celtic	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	St Mirren	7	3	2	2	+2	11
5	Dundee United	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Motherwell	6	3	1	2	+0	10
7	Ross County	7	2	3	2	+1	9
8	Dundee	6	2	1	3	+0	7
9	Hibernian	7	1	3	3	-2	6
10	Hearts	5	1	2	2	+2	5
11	Kilmarnock	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	ST Johnstone	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Aberdeen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Motherwell	5	3	0	2	+1	9
4	Dundee United	6	2	3	1	+1	9
5	ST Johnstone	8	2	1	5	-5	7
6	Kilmarnock	7	2	1	4	-6	7
7	Dundee	5	1	2	2	-3	5
8	Rangers	5	1	1	3	-4	4
9	Hearts	7	1	1	5	-7	4
10	St Mirren	6	1	1	4	-7	4
11	Ross County	6	0	3	3	-12	3
12	Hibernian	5	0	2	3	-5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.