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Premiership
Referee: I Snedden
ST Johnstone
U T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Kilmarnock
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 27%
24%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
62%
44%
Both score Ø 52%
56%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
18 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 12. · Kilmarnock 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 34 27 3 4 +80 84
2 Rangers 34 20 7 7 +33 67
3 Hibernian 34 14 11 9 +12 53
4 Aberdeen 34 15 8 11 -3 53
5 Dundee United 34 14 8 12 -4 50
6 St Mirren 34 12 6 16 -9 42
7 Motherwell 34 12 6 16 -18 42
8 Hearts 34 11 7 16 -2 40
9 Kilmarnock 34 10 8 16 -18 38
10 Dundee 34 10 7 17 -20 37
11 Ross County 34 9 8 17 -25 35
12 ST Johnstone 34 8 5 21 -26 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -25 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 3–1 23. Nov -24 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 1–0 11. Aug -24 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 0–3 13. Apr -24 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 0–2 23. Dec -23 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 2–1

Match report

ST Johnstone Kilmarnock
12′
⚽ D. Watson 0–1
C. Ndaba
Uche Ikpeazu 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ B. Wales
51′
ℹ️ Rory McKenzie
VAR: Penalty confirmed
53′
⚽ D. Armstrong 0–2
N. Clark 🔁
↦ V. Griffith
65′
A. Sidibeh 🔁
↦ M. Kirk
65′
Elliot Watt 🟨
66′
74′
🟨 Danny Armstrong
77′
🔁 K. Vassell
↦ D. Armstrong
77′
🔁 M. Watkins
↦ B. Anderson
F. Franczak 🔁
↦ J. McPake
79′
87′
🔁 C. Ramsay
↦ F. Murray
89′
🔁 L. Polworth
↦ D. Watson
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 A. Fisher G
23 S. Sprangler D
4 D. Balodis D
30 B. Douglas D
11 G. Carey M
44 E. Watt M
6 V. Griffith M
19 T. Steven M
27 M. Kirk F
24 J. McPake F
9 U. Ikpeazu F
Bench (9)
10 N. Clark
16 A. Sidibeh
46 F. Franczak
21 S. Duke-McKenna
7 J. Holt
20 R. Sinclair
17 M. Kucheriavyi
37 S. Curtis
29 B. Kimpioka

Coach: S. Valakari

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
1 K. O'Hara G
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
17 S. Findlay D
3 C. Ndaba D
11 D. Armstrong M
22 L. Donnelly M
12 D. Watson M
15 F. Murray M
19 B. Anderson F
24 B. Wales F
Bench (9)
7 R. McKenzie
9 K. Vassell
23 M. Watkins
21 C. Ramsay
31 L. Polworth
18 I. Cameron
20 R. McCrorie
10 M. Kennedy
14 G. Mackay-Steven

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,08
🔒
U
3,23
🔒
B ✓
2,34
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,19
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,66
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Snedden · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.