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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Max Burda
3–1
Full-time
Dresden
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Dresden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
50%
21%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
79%
Both score Ø 68%
57%
79%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,96 xG 0,68
41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 7. · Dresden 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 15 11 1 3 +12 +4.3 34
2 Paderborn 14 9 2 3 +7 +1.2 29
3 Hannover 15 8 4 3 +9 +1.6 28
4 Elversberg 14 8 3 3 +14 -0.9 27
5 Darmstadt 14 7 5 2 +10 +5.1 26
6 Hertha 14 8 2 4 +7 -0.4 26
7 Kaiserslautern 14 7 2 5 +7 +1.4 23
8 Karlsruhe 14 6 3 5 -3 -6.8 21
9 Preußen Münster 15 5 4 6 -3 -0.7 19
10 Nurnberg 14 5 3 6 -4 +0.4 18
11 Bielefeld 14 5 2 7 +4 +0.9 17
12 Bochum 14 5 1 8 +0 +5.4 16
13 Holstein Kiel 14 4 3 7 -3 -3.8 15
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 15 4 2 9 -12 -6.3 14
15 Dresden 14 3 4 7 -6 +0.2 13
16 Braunschweig 14 4 1 9 -11 +1.4 13
17 Greuther Furth 14 4 1 9 -17 -4.7 13
18 Magdeburg 14 3 1 10 -11 +1.6 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Dresden
1–0 N. Skytta
D. Hanslik
17′
Daniel Hanslik ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
26′
Mika Haas 🟨
31′
35′
🟨 Alexander Rossipal
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Jakob Lemmer
F. Kleinhansl 🔁
↦ P. Joly
46′
2–0 M. Ritter
52′
56′
🔁 V. Sapina
↦ K. Amoako
56′
🔁 D. Kother
↦ N. Froling
Marlon Ritter 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 Konrad Faber
Daniel Hanslik 🟨
65′
70′
🔁 S. Kutschke
↦ L. Herrmann
3–0 M. Haas
70′
76′
J. Lemmer 3–1
L. Boeder
D. Hofmeister 🔁
↦ M. Ritter
82′
F. Alidou 🔁
↦ N. Skytta
82′
84′
🔁 A. Casar
↦ L. Boeder
84′
🔁 J. Oehmichen
↦ J. Lemmer
J. Elvedi 🔁
↦ S. Sahin
91′
E. Muller 🔁
↦ D. Hanslik
91′
92′
🟨 Vincent Vermeij
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

3-4-2-1
1 J. Krahl G
31 L. Sirch D
4 M. Gyamfi D
37 L. Robinson D
26 P. Joly M
6 F. Kunze M
8 S. Sahin M
22 M. Haas M
15 N. Skytta F
7 M. Ritter F
19 D. Hanslik F
Bench (9)
25 S. Simoni
3 F. Kleinhansl
20 T. Raschl
27 D. Abiama
33 J. Elvedi
42 E. Muller
43 N. Gibs
44 D. Hofmeister
48 F. Alidou

Coach: Torsten Lieberknecht

Dresden

3-4-2-1
1 T. Schreiber G
13 J. Pauli D
29 L. Boeder D
42 F. Muller D
2 K. Faber M
6 K. Amoako M
8 L. Herrmann M
19 A. Rossipal M
10 J. Lemmer F
16 N. Froling F
9 V. Vermeij F
Bench (8)
37 D. Mesenholer
5 V. Sapina
11 D. Kother
15 C. Kammerknecht
17 A. Casar
23 L. Bunning
25 J. Oehmichen
30 S. Kutschke

Coach: Thomas Stamm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,86
U
3,76
B
3,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.