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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Makkelie

Heracles

S S S S U

1–1

Full-time

Telstar

S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Telstar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,8

2,5

Scored

3,2

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 22%

29%

14%

Points per game

0,9

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

86%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

4,1

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

2,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,21 xG 0,75

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 16. · Telstar 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	13	1	1	+29	+13.8	40
2	Feyenoord	14	10	1	3	+18	+19.0	31
3	Nijmegen	14	7	3	4	+13	+5.9	24
4	AZ Alkmaar	14	7	3	4	+4	+8.5	24
5	Ajax	14	6	5	3	+6	+1.1	23
6	Groningen	14	7	2	5	+2	+7.0	23
7	Utrecht	13	6	2	5	+6	-1.5	20
8	Twente	14	5	5	4	+3	+10.8	20
9	For Sittard	15	5	3	7	-4	-3.9	18
10	Go Ahead Eagles	14	4	5	5	-1	-6.4	17
11	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	2	7	-12	-5.9	17
12	Heerenveen	14	4	4	6	-3	+10.5	16
13	Zwolle	14	4	4	6	-12	-12.3	16
14	Excelsior	15	5	1	9	-12	-11.1	16
15	Volendam	14	3	5	6	-7	-11.2	14
16	Heracles	14	4	1	9	-14	-11.7	13
17	NAC Breda	14	3	3	8	-8	-6.3	12
18	Telstar	14	2	4	8	-8	-6.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+12	+8.9	16
2	Nijmegen	7	5	1	1	+11	+6.4	16
3	Utrecht	6	5	0	1	+10	+3.7	15
4	Feyenoord	7	5	0	2	+5	+11.1	15
5	For Sittard	8	4	2	2	+2	+4.3	14
6	Ajax	7	4	1	2	+4	+5.3	13
7	Volendam	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.4	12
8	Go Ahead Eagles	7	3	3	1	+3	-0.2	12
9	Heerenveen	8	3	3	2	+1	+8.8	12
10	Groningen	7	3	2	2	+4	+4.8	11
11	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	2	1	+3	+4.4	11
12	Twente	7	3	2	2	+0	+6.7	11
13	NAC Breda	7	3	1	3	+0	+3.1	10
14	Zwolle	7	3	1	3	-5	-3.1	10
15	Heracles	6	3	0	3	+0	-1.8	9
16	Excelsior	8	3	0	5	-3	-6.0	9
17	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	-7	-3.2	8
18	Telstar	8	1	3	4	-4	+0.5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	0	0	+17	+4.9	24
2	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+13	+7.9	16
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	1	3	+1	+4.2	13
4	Groningen	7	4	0	3	-2	+2.2	12
5	Ajax	7	2	4	1	+2	-4.2	10
6	Twente	7	2	3	2	+3	+4.2	9
7	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	0	4	-5	-2.7	9
8	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	+2	-0.4	8
9	Excelsior	7	2	1	4	-9	-5.0	7
10	Zwolle	7	1	3	3	-7	-9.2	6
11	Go Ahead Eagles	7	1	2	4	-4	-6.1	5
12	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	-4	-5.2	5
13	Heerenveen	6	1	1	4	-4	+1.7	4
14	Telstar	6	1	1	4	-4	-6.8	4
15	For Sittard	7	1	1	5	-6	-8.2	4
16	Heracles	8	1	1	6	-14	-9.9	4
17	NAC Breda	7	0	2	5	-8	-9.4	2
18	Volendam	7	0	2	5	-11	-10.8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.